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Tommy Paul v Zizou Bergs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tommy Paul (Local)
Prediction 65.51%1.53fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.717%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.17%65.56%65.63%67.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.451.451.5172.46%69.09%68.97%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zizou Bergs (Visit)
Prediction 34.49%2.90fair odd
EV +1.75%
Edge +0.593%
Kelly +0.897%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.03%34.44%34.37%36.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.722.702.9539.22%36.77%37.04%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tommy Paul (Local): 65.51%; Zizou Bergs (Visit): 34.49%. For Zizou Bergs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.90. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -8.94%E -6.43%K -22.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV +1.75%E +0.593%K +0.897%G +0.016% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 11:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.98%EV -3.05%E -2.06%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.02%EV -1.01%E -0.352%K -0.540%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-14 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.70%E -2.52%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.70%E -0.596%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-13 22:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.42%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-14 08:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.42%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-14 07:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.42%E -1.22%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 11:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -3.77%E -1.35%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-14 08:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.11%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 10:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.11%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 11:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -3.05%E -2.06%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -4.46%E -1.61%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-14 07:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -3.05%E -2.06%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -4.46%E -1.61%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-14 07:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.71%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.29%EV -4.80%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-14 11:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.70%E -2.52%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-14 07:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 11:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 11:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-14 11:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 11:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 08:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-12 14:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-13 22:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 11:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 11:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 11:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 11:35 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-14 10:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -9.60%E -6.96%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -5.15%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-14 05:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.70%E -2.52%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 14:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.36%E -2.98%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.36%E -2.98%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.36%E -2.98%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.36%E -2.98%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-14 07:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 11:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 11:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 11:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 10:58 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 10:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 11:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-14 11:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-12 15:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.01%E -3.46%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-13 17:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-14 11:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.98%E -4.91%K -16.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-14 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.29%E -5.92%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.87%E -2.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-12 20:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.60%E -3.24%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-12 14:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.63%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-12 15:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.63%E -3.68%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-12 15:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.05%E -2.06%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-12 15:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.05%E -2.06%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-12 15:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-13 18:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.67%E -3.94%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-13 18:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.29%E -5.92%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.32%E -3.97%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-13 08:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -1.08%E -0.717%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -10.67%E -4.12%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-14 11:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -6.32%E -4.42%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -12.05%E -4.72%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-14 11:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-10-14 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-10-14 11:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63% | 0.5% | 2026-10-14 11:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 0.5% | 2026-10-14 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-10-14 11:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.60% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.40% | 1.6% | 2026-10-14 11:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10% | 1.8% | 2026-10-14 11:50 |