The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Arthur Gea v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 06:36 UTC

Final: Arthur Gea 0–0 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arthur Gea (Local)

Prediction 50.66%1.97fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.625%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%50.66%50.52%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.871.871.9555.87%53.61%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit)

Prediction 49.34%2.03fair odd
EV +0.166%
Edge +0.082%
Kelly +0.161%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.34%49.48%52.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.931.932.0357.14%51.95%51.81%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arthur Gea (Local): 50.66%; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit): 49.34%. For Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.027. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.030, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.166%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV +0.166%E +0.082%K +0.161%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-15 06:00
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.31%E -0.657%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-15 06:24
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.31%E -0.657%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 05:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.31%E -0.657%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 06:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.78%E -3.11%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.29%E -1.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 05:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.78%E -3.11%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.29%E -1.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 05:20
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -3.29%E -1.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 06:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -3.29%E -1.68%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-15 06:25
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.78%E -1.94%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 05:35
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.78%E -1.94%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 05:55
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.28%E -3.40%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.78%E -1.94%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 05:20
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.28%E -3.40%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.78%E -1.94%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 05:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.28%E -3.40%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.78%E -1.94%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 05:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.28%E -3.40%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.78%E -1.94%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 05:20
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.28%E -3.40%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.78%E -1.94%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 05:20
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.78%E -1.94%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 05:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.78%E -1.94%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-15 05:54
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.78%E -1.94%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-15 06:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.78%E -1.94%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-15 06:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -2.74%E -1.43%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -4.27%E -2.20%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-15 05:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.28%E -3.40%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.27%E -2.20%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 06:25
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-15 06:00
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.26%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 04:15
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 01:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 01:20
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 01:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 01:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 01:19
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 01:20
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 01:20
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 01:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 01:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 01:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 01:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 01:19
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 01:19
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 01:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-15 05:50
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -2.23%E -1.16%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -5.26%E -2.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-15 05:30
Betsson🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.26%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.26%E -2.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 05:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.26%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.26%E -2.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 05:35
NordicBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.26%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.26%E -2.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 05:39
ReBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.26%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.26%E -2.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 05:35
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 05:30
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 06:25
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 06:00
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 06:10
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.25%E -1.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 02:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 01:19
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.28%E -3.40%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-15 05:55
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.30%E -3.99%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 03:19
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.82%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.75%E -3.01%K -6.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 06:25
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 06:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 05:55
picklebet_au🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-15 05:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -5.78%E -3.11%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 05:35
BetAnything🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -5.78%E -3.11%K -6.72%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 05:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.73%E -4.13%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 05:30
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.73%E -4.13%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 06:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.18%EV -8.72%E -4.71%K -10.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-15 01:19
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -1.22%E -0.625%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -13.65%E -7.80%K -18.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-14 04:09
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -1.22%E -0.625%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -13.65%E -7.80%K -18.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-14 04:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-10-15 05:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-10-15 06:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-10-15 06:25
Matchbook◎1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-10-15 06:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-10-15 06:25
Smarkets◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-10-15 06:20
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-10-15 06:20