Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tommy Paul v Botic van de Zandschulp

Kickoff: 2026-06-18 12:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tommy Paul (Local)

Prediction 74.68%1.34fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -2.25%
Kelly -9.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.63%74.78%74.58%76.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.281.3081.97%78.84%78.13%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit)

Prediction 25.32%3.95fair odd
EV +4.84%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.54%
Growth +0.074%

assuming max odds 4.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.37%25.22%25.42%27.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.713.704.1428.99%26.92%27.03%24.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tommy Paul (Local): 74.68%; Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit): 25.32%. For Botic van de Zandschulp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.14, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 76.38%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.62%EV +4.84%E +1.17%K +1.54%G +0.074%2.3%2026-06-18 12:31
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.89%E -7.29%K -40.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +1.29%E +0.323%K +0.430%G +0.006%7.0%2026-06-18 12:31
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.76%EV -5.16%E -4.06%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.24%EV +0.531%E +0.134%K +0.179%G +0.001%3.9%2026-06-18 12:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.53%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.47%EV +0.025%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-18 12:28
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.82%EV -6.65%E -5.32%K -26.61%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.18%EV -0.735%E -0.188%K -0.252%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 12:29
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -5.16%E -4.06%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -1.24%E -0.318%K -0.428%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-18 12:30
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -8.15%E -6.62%K -35.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -1.24%E -0.318%K -0.428%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-18 12:30
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.91%E -4.69%K -22.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -2.51%E -0.651%K -0.880%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 12:30
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.65%E -5.32%K -26.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -2.51%E -0.651%K -0.880%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 12:30
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.67%E -2.84%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.77%E -0.993%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-18 12:31
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.16%E -4.06%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.77%E -0.993%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 12:24
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.16%E -4.06%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.77%E -0.993%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-18 12:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.91%E -4.69%K -22.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.77%E -0.993%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-18 12:28
Fanatics🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.91%E -4.69%K -22.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -3.77%E -0.993%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-18 12:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.89%E -7.29%K -40.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -3.77%E -0.993%K -1.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-18 12:25
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.67%E -2.84%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 12:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.67%E -2.84%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 12:30
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.16%E -4.06%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-18 12:31
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.91%E -4.69%K -22.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 12:30
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.65%E -5.32%K -26.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-18 12:31
Everygame🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.89%E -7.29%K -40.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-18 12:30
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.89%E -7.29%K -40.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-18 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.89%E -7.29%K -40.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-18 12:31
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -5.80%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-18 12:31
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 12:30
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 12:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 12:31
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 12:31
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 12:30
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 12:30
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 12:30
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 12:30
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 12:31
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-18 12:30
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.16%E -4.06%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 12:31
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.65%E -5.32%K -26.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 12:30
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.65%E -5.32%K -26.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.31%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-18 12:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -2.92%E -2.25%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -6.81%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 12:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -2.92%E -2.25%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -6.81%E -1.85%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-18 12:30
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.67%E -2.84%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 12:30
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.67%E -2.84%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 12:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.16%E -4.06%K -19.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 12:24
Caesars🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.91%E -4.69%K -22.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-18 12:30
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.65%E -5.32%K -26.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.84%E -2.46%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-18 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.58%EV -8.89%E -7.29%K -40.43%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.42%EV -9.34%E -2.61%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-18 12:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -7.40%E -5.97%K -30.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -10.10%E -2.85%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-18 12:31
Dabble (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.92%E -2.25%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-18 12:31
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-18 12:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-18 12:30
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -11.37%E -3.25%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-18 12:30
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.92%E -2.25%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-18 12:30
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-18 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -4.41%E -3.45%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -12.64%E -3.66%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-18 12:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-06-18 12:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-06-18 12:31
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-06-18 12:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%0.2%2026-06-18 12:31
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26%2.1%2026-06-18 12:31
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 76.65%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.35%2.7%2026-06-18 12:31