Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.60
assuming max odds 1.33
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rinky Hijikata (Local): 24.41%; Jiri Lehecka (Visit): 75.59%. For Rinky Hijikata (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.29%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +12.29%E +2.67%K +3.41%G +0.420% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -10.05%E -8.45%K -52.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +12.29%E +2.67%K +3.41%G +0.420% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -10.05%E -8.45%K -52.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +9.85%E +2.19%K +2.81%G +0.277% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -10.05%E -8.45%K -52.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +9.85%E +2.19%K +2.81%G +0.277% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.81%E -9.16%K -60.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +9.85%E +2.19%K +2.81%G +0.277% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.81%E -9.16%K -60.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +9.85%E +2.19%K +2.81%G +0.277% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -10.81%E -9.16%K -60.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +9.85%E +2.19%K +2.81%G +0.277% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -11.56%E -9.88%K -68.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +9.85%E +2.19%K +2.81%G +0.277% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -11.56%E -9.88%K -68.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV +7.41%E +1.68%K +2.18%G +0.162% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -10.05%E -8.45%K -52.89%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV +7.41%E +1.68%K +2.18%G +0.162% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -12.32%E -10.62%K -76.98%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV +4.97%E +1.16%K +1.51%G +0.075% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -9.29%E -7.74%K -46.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV +2.53%E +0.602%K +0.790%G +0.020% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.65%EV -13.83%E -12.13%K -98.78%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +0.088%E +0.021%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.27%E -5.06%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.35%E -0.588%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.51%E -4.41%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.35%E -0.588%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.51%E -4.41%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -2.35%E -0.588%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.27%E -5.06%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.35%E -0.588%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.03%E -5.71%K -30.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.35%E -0.588%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.03%E -5.71%K -30.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.35%E -0.588%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -7.03%E -5.71%K -30.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.35%E -0.588%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.78%E -6.38%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -2.35%E -0.588%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.78%E -6.38%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.99I 25.06%NM 23.85%EV -2.60%E -0.651%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.15%EV -5.51%E -4.41%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -3.57%E -0.905%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.27%E -5.06%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -3.57%E -0.905%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.27%E -5.06%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -3.57%E -0.905%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.27%E -5.06%K -26.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -3.57%E -0.905%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.78%E -6.38%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.79%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.51%E -4.41%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -4.79%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -9.29%E -7.74%K -46.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.51%E -4.41%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-18 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -7.78%E -6.38%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.59%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.41%EV -0.979%E -0.748%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-06-18 14:31 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.24%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.78%E -6.38%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.24%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.85%EV -8.54%E -7.06%K -40.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.51%E -4.41%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.51%E -4.41%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.51%E -4.41%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.78%E -6.38%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.78%E -6.38%K -35.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -8.54%E -7.06%K -40.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -10.90%E -2.99%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 75.57%EV -10.81%E -9.16%K -60.03%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.56%EV -11.14%E -3.06%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.44%EV -5.51%E -4.41%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-18 14:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.76%E -3.78%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-18 14:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -12.61%E -3.52%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -2.49%E -1.93%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-18 14:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -13.34%E -3.76%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -1.74%E -1.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-18 14:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -13.34%E -3.76%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -4.76%E -3.78%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-18 14:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.07%EV -13.83%E -3.92%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.93%EV -0.979%E -0.748%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-18 14:33 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -0.979%E -0.748%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 14:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.74%E -1.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-18 14:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -1.74%E -1.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-18 14:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.49%E -1.93%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-18 14:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -2.49%E -1.93%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-18 14:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -14.80%E -4.24%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -0.223%E -0.169%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-18 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -14.80%E -4.24%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -0.223%E -0.169%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-18 14:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -15.78%E -4.57%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -0.979%E -0.748%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-18 14:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -18.22%E -5.44%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -0.979%E -0.748%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-18 14:08 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.61%EV -18.71%E -5.62%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.39%EV -4.00%E -3.15%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-18 14:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -19.44%E -5.89%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -1.74%E -1.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-18 14:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -19.44%E -5.89%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -1.74%E -1.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-18 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -19.44%E -5.89%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -1.74%E -1.33%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-18 14:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -19.44%E -5.89%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -3.25%E -2.54%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-18 14:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -20.66%E -6.36%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV +0.533%E +0.400%K +1.61%G +0.009% | 6.0% | 2026-06-18 14:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -21.88%E -6.84%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -2.49%E -1.93%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 1.5% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13% | 1.6% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |
| Novig◎ | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.45% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.55% | 4.5% | 2026-06-18 14:40 |