Language:English
Cameron Norrie v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cameron Norrie (Local)
Prediction 47.92%2.09fair odd
EV +14.06%
Edge +5.91%
Kelly +10.19%
Growth +1.43%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.90%47.74%48.74%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.991.952.3861.73%50.33%51.28%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit)
Prediction 52.08%1.92fair odd
EV +14.57%
Edge +6.62%
Kelly +12.14%
Growth +1.77%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%52.26%51.26%60.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.791.782.2063.29%55.96%56.18%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cameron Norrie (Local): 47.92%; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit): 52.08%. For Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -22.36%E -13.80%K -36.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +14.57%E +6.62%K +12.14%G +1.77% | 7.2% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -19.97%E -11.96%K -29.80%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +9.36%E +4.46%K +8.51%G +0.796% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -13.74%E -7.63%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV +2.59%E +1.31%K +2.67%G +0.069% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -13.74%E -7.63%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV +2.59%E +1.31%K +2.67%G +0.069% | 6.3% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -16.61%E -9.55%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV +1.55%E +0.794%K +1.63%G +0.025% | 8.8% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.30%E -6.72%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.535%E -0.280%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.30%E -6.72%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.535%E -0.280%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -12.30%E -6.72%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -0.535%E -0.280%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 17:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.51%EV -18.53%E -10.90%K -26.47%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.49%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.38%E -5.55%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.62%E -1.40%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.82%EV -13.74%E -7.63%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -3.14%E -1.69%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-16 17:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.94%E -4.71%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.94%E -4.71%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -11.34%E -6.13%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.55%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.45%EV -4.18%E -2.27%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.03%E -3.62%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.03%E -3.62%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.03%E -3.62%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -7.03%E -3.62%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.70%E -2.57%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.59%E -2.84%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.74%E -3.17%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -5.74%E -3.17%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -7.99%E -4.16%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -5.74%E -3.17%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.78%E -3.79%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.86%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -6.78%E -3.79%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -9.42%E -4.99%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -6.78%E -3.79%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.63%EV -9.90%E -5.27%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.37%EV -7.31%E -4.10%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.17%EV -11.82%E -6.42%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.83%EV -7.31%E -4.10%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.83%E -4.42%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-16 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.641%E +0.305%K +0.583%G +0.004% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.87%E -5.07%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV +0.641%E +0.305%K +0.583%G +0.004% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -8.87%E -5.07%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.55%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.87%E -5.07%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.641%E +0.305%K +0.583%G +0.004% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.91%E -5.73%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-16 17:07 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -0.318%E -0.153%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -9.91%E -5.73%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.91%E -5.73%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.91%E -5.73%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +0.641%E +0.305%K +0.583%G +0.004% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -10.43%E -6.06%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-16 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +5.43%E +2.47%K +4.53%G +0.246% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -10.95%E -6.40%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 17:08 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +5.43%E +2.47%K +4.53%G +0.246% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -10.95%E -6.40%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-16 17:07 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +0.641%E +0.305%K +0.583%G +0.004% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.95%E -6.40%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-16 16:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +3.04%E +1.41%K +2.64%G +0.080% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -11.47%E -6.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 17:02 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +3.04%E +1.41%K +2.64%G +0.080% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -11.47%E -6.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +3.04%E +1.41%K +2.64%G +0.080% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -11.47%E -6.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 17:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV +1.60%E +0.754%K +1.43%G +0.023% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -11.47%E -6.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-16 17:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -1.76%E -0.856%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.47%E -6.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-16 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +3.04%E +1.41%K +2.64%G +0.080% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -11.99%E -7.10%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +10.23%E +4.45%K +7.87%G +0.804% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -12.51%E -7.45%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +5.43%E +2.47%K +4.53%G +0.246% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -13.03%E -7.80%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +0.641%E +0.305%K +0.583%G +0.004% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -13.03%E -7.80%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -13.55%E -8.17%K -20.54%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -1.76%E -0.856%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -14.07%E -8.53%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV +3.04%E +1.41%K +2.64%G +0.080% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -14.60%E -8.90%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV +3.04%E +1.41%K +2.64%G +0.080% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -14.60%E -8.90%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-16 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV +5.43%E +2.47%K +4.53%G +0.246% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -16.68%E -10.42%K -27.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-16 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV +14.06%E +5.91%K +10.19%G +1.43% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -17.72%E -11.22%K -30.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-16 16:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 1.4% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19% | 2.4% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.64% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.36% | 3.3% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71% | 3.7% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84% | 5.7% | 2026-06-16 17:10 |