Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brandon Nakashima v Marton Fucsovics

Kickoff: 2026-06-16 11:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Brandon Nakashima (Local)

Prediction 62.30%1.61fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -3.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%62.24%62.42%65.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.501.501.5770.42%66.51%66.67%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marton Fucsovics (Visit)

Prediction 37.70%2.65fair odd
EV +3.29%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.89%
Growth +0.062%

assuming max odds 2.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.45%37.76%37.58%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.502.502.7444.44%39.95%40.00%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brandon Nakashima (Local): 62.30%; Marton Fucsovics (Visit): 37.70%. For Marton Fucsovics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.29%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -10.28%E -7.14%K -23.37%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV +3.29%E +1.20%K +1.89%G +0.062%5.9%2026-06-16 10:40
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -5.92%E -3.92%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV +0.272%E +0.102%K +0.164%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-16 10:30
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.99%E -0.765%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.99%E -0.765%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.99%E -0.765%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.99%E -0.765%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.99%E -0.765%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.99%E -0.765%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.99%E -0.765%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.99%E -0.765%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.99%E -0.765%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.99%E -0.765%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.99%E -0.765%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.99%E -0.765%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:30
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -2.81%E -1.80%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -2.74%E -1.06%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-16 10:30
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.05%E -2.63%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-16 10:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.30%E -3.49%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-16 10:29
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 10:40
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.17%E -4.81%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 10:40
Grosvenor🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.17%E -4.81%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 10:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.30%E -3.49%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.63%E -1.83%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 10:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.38%EV -5.30%E -3.49%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.62%EV -5.01%E -1.99%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-16 10:29
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.05%E -2.63%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -5.38%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 10:28
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.68%E -3.06%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 10:30
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.68%E -3.06%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 10:30
Dabble (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.68%E -3.06%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-16 10:30
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.30%E -3.49%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:30
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:30
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:40
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:40
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:40
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-16 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.79%E -5.26%K -16.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 10:30
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.79%E -5.26%K -16.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-16 10:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.41%E -5.72%K -17.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-16 10:30
LeoVegas🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -9.66%E -6.66%K -21.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-16 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -10.28%E -7.14%K -23.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-16 10:40
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.05%E -2.63%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -6.14%E -2.46%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 10:29
FanDuel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -7.17%E -4.81%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -6.51%E -2.63%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -7.79%E -5.26%K -16.23%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -6.89%E -2.79%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-16 10:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.68%E -3.06%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-16 10:36
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 10:40
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 10:40
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 10:40
Fliff🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.41%E -5.72%K -17.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-16 10:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.31%EV -11.53%E -8.12%K -27.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-16 10:40
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -2.81%E -1.80%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -9.15%E -3.80%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 10:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.81%E -1.80%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 10:30
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.68%E -3.06%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 10:31
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.68%E -3.06%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 10:39
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.30%E -3.49%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-16 10:30
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.54%E -4.36%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 10:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.79%E -5.26%K -16.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-16 10:39
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.18%E -1.39%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.28%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 10:40
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.68%E -3.06%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.28%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-16 10:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -7.17%E -4.81%K -14.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -11.41%E -4.86%K -8.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-16 10:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.81%EV -9.66%E -6.66%K -21.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.19%EV -15.18%E -6.75%K -12.15%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-16 10:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-06-16 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-06-16 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-06-16 10:40
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-06-16 10:40
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97%1.7%2026-06-16 10:40
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%3.6%2026-06-16 10:40