Language:English
Brandon Nakashima v Ignacio Buse
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Brandon Nakashima (Local)
Prediction 73.87%1.35fair odd
EV +1.94%
Edge +1.41%
Kelly +5.12%
Growth +0.100%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.43%73.82%73.73%75.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.291.291.3880.65%77.68%77.52%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ignacio Buse (Visit)
Prediction 26.13%3.83fair odd
EV +1.63%
Edge +0.420%
Kelly +0.566%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 3.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.60%26.18%26.27%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.593.553.8930.77%27.89%28.17%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brandon Nakashima (Local): 73.87%; Ignacio Buse (Visit): 26.13%. For Brandon Nakashima (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.35. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%EV +1.94%E +1.41%K +5.12%G +0.100% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-06-17 10:29 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.49%E -1.88%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -11.17%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.23%E -2.46%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-17 10:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.23%E -2.46%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-17 10:31 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.95%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 25.05%EV +1.63%E +0.420%K +0.566%G +0.009% | 2.6% | 2026-06-17 10:31 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.717%E -0.189%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -6.99%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-17 10:28 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 10:31 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 10:31 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 10:31 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 10:31 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.97%E -3.05%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.46%EV -4.70%E -3.65%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -1.76%E -0.469%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.46%EV -4.70%E -3.65%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.54%EV -1.76%E -0.469%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.70%E -3.65%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.02%E -0.539%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.70%E -3.65%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.02%E -0.539%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.73%EV -4.70%E -3.65%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.27%EV -5.42%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.70%E -3.65%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.70%E -3.65%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.70%E -3.65%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.70%E -3.65%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-17 10:31 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.70%E -3.65%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 10:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.70%E -3.65%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.17%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.70%E -3.65%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.09%E -4.64%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-17 10:27 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.02%E -0.539%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-17 10:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 10:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-17 10:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.44%E -4.25%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -9.86%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.18%E -4.87%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.64%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.18%E -4.87%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.18%E -4.87%K -22.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.25%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -6.92%E -5.49%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -0.717%E -0.189%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.92%E -5.49%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.17%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -6.92%E -5.49%K -26.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.17%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.66%E -6.13%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.02%E -0.539%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.66%E -6.13%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.94%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-17 10:31 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.66%E -6.13%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.66%E -6.13%K -30.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -8.40%E -6.77%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -0.717%E -0.189%K -0.256%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -8.40%E -6.77%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -3.33%E -0.900%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-06-17 10:31 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.36% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.64% | 3.4% | 2026-06-17 10:30 |