Language:English
Brandon Nakashima v Francisco Cerundolo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Brandon Nakashima (Local)
Prediction 60.60%1.65fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -4.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.23%60.66%60.72%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.541.531.6169.44%64.83%65.36%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Francisco Cerundolo (Visit)
Prediction 39.40%2.54fair odd
EV +0.476%
Edge +0.187%
Kelly +0.307%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.34%39.28%40.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.422.402.5543.48%41.34%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Brandon Nakashima (Local): 60.60%; Francisco Cerundolo (Visit): 39.40%. For Francisco Cerundolo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.476%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV +0.476%E +0.187%K +0.307%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 12:07 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -5.47%E -3.50%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -0.312%E -0.123%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-20 12:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -5.47%E -3.50%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -0.312%E -0.123%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-06-20 12:08 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.47%E -3.50%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.49%E -0.598%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-20 12:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.49%E -0.598%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 12:06 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.49%E -0.598%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.49%E -0.598%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.49%E -0.598%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.49%E -0.598%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.49%E -0.598%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.49%E -0.598%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.49%E -0.598%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 12:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.49%E -0.598%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 12:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.49%E -0.598%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-20 12:06 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.89%E -5.19%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.49%E -0.598%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 12:07 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -2.44%E -1.51%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -1.89%E -0.758%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -1.89%E -0.758%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-20 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -8.50%E -5.63%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -2.28%E -0.920%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -8.50%E -5.63%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -2.28%E -0.920%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.04%E -1.90%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-20 12:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.65%E -2.30%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-20 12:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.07%E -3.92%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.10%E -6.07%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-20 12:06 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.10%E -6.07%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-20 12:06 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -9.10%E -6.07%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.46%E -1.41%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-20 12:06 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.99%EV -9.71%E -6.52%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.01%EV -4.25%E -1.75%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.27%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV -4.65%E -1.92%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.86%E -3.10%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.04%E -2.09%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-20 11:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.04%E -1.90%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-20 12:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.65%E -2.30%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 11:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.65%E -2.30%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 12:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.65%E -2.30%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-20 12:08 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.26%E -2.69%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 12:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.26%E -2.69%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-20 12:06 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.47%E -3.50%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 12:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.07%E -3.92%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.07%E -3.92%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 12:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.07%E -3.92%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 11:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.89%E -5.19%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-20 12:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -10.32%E -6.97%K -21.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -5.43%E -2.26%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-20 12:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.22%E -2.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-20 12:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.62%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-20 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.62%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-20 12:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.40%EV -9.71%E -6.52%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.60%EV -6.62%E -2.79%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.26%E -2.69%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 12:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.86%E -3.10%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.86%E -3.10%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.47%E -3.50%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 12:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.07%E -3.92%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 12:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.07%E -3.92%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 12:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.07%E -3.92%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 12:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.07%E -3.92%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 12:08 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.29%E -4.76%K -13.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-20 11:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.89%E -5.19%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 12:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.01%EV -12.74%E -8.85%K -28.95%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -7.40%E -3.15%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -3.65%E -2.30%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -8.98%E -3.89%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 11:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.86%E -3.10%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-20 12:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.86%E -3.10%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-20 12:08 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -8.50%E -5.63%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.37%E -4.08%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 0.1% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.62% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.38% | 1.7% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17% | 2.7% | 2026-06-20 12:10 |