Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Zachary Svajda

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 10:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)

Prediction 46.98%2.13fair odd
EV +1.48%
Edge +0.687%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.04%47.02%46.95%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.012.002.1651.28%49.84%50.00%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zachary Svajda (Visit)

Prediction 53.02%1.89fair odd
EV -0.859%
Edge -0.459%
Kelly -0.988%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.98%53.05%55.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.761.8758.82%56.27%56.82%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local): 46.98%; Zachary Svajda (Visit): 53.02%. For Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.16, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV +1.48%E +0.687%K +1.28%G +0.019%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -9.87%E -5.81%K -14.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 06:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.33%E -0.636%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.34%E -5.46%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 06:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -1.80%E -0.863%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -6.69%E -3.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 09:25
ReBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -2.27%E -1.09%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -6.69%E -3.80%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-31 09:10
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -5.09%E -2.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -9.34%E -5.46%K -13.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 06:35
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -5.09%E -2.52%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -9.34%E -5.46%K -13.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 06:35
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.16%E -3.48%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 06:35
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.28%E -4.79%K -11.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 09:55
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.03%E -3.02%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.28%E -4.79%K -11.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 07:30
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45%EV -6.50%E -3.27%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55%EV -0.859%E -0.459%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-31 08:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.38%E -4.30%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.859%E -0.459%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-31 08:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.38%E -4.30%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -0.859%E -0.459%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-31 08:20
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.38%E -4.30%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.92%E -1.04%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-31 09:15
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -8.38%E -4.30%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -3.51%E -1.93%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 06:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.38%E -4.30%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.57%E -2.54%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 06:35
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.38%E -4.30%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.57%E -2.54%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 06:35
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.38%E -4.30%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.22%E -4.13%K -9.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 06:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14%1.3%2026-10-31 09:55
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%2.9%2026-10-31 09:56