L’École des cotesodds.tennis
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Jan-Lennard Struff

2026-11-04 15:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)

Prévision 31.72%3.15cote équitable
EV -0.076%
Avantage -0.024%
Kelly -0.035%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.49%32.13%31.76%35.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.872.873.1538.17%34.89%34.84%31.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jan-Lennard Struff (Visiteur)

Prévision 68.28%1.46cote équitable
EV -0.314%
Avantage -0.215%
Kelly -0.683%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.48%67.87%68.24%69.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.401.401.4676.92%71.35%71.43%68.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local) : 31.72% ; Jan-Lennard Struff (Visiteur) : 68.28%. Pour Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.152. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.150, pour une espérance de -0.076% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -0.076%E -0.024%K -0.035%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -5.09%E -3.66%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-04 01:20
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.66%E -0.536%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.78%E -4.19%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-04 01:20
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.66%E -0.536%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.78%E -4.19%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-04 01:20
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.66%E -0.536%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.78%E -4.19%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-04 00:45
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.66%E -0.536%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 21:35
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.66%E -0.536%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 21:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.66%E -0.536%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.66%E -0.536%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 22:10
DraftKings🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -2.30%E -0.746%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.78%E -4.19%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-04 00:45
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -3.25%E -1.06%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.05%E -2.14%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-04 01:39
Fanatics🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.25%E -1.06%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.46%E -4.71%K -17.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:20
GTbets🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.05%EV -4.20%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.95%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-04 01:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.83%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.46%E -4.71%K -17.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-04 01:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.83%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-03 21:30
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.83%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-04 01:19
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.42%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.41%E -3.15%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-04 01:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.42%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.09%E -3.66%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:39
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.42%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.82%E -5.80%K -22.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-04 01:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.42%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.82%E -5.80%K -22.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-03 21:30
ReBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -6.74%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.53%EV -7.82%E -5.80%K -22.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-04 01:19
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.01%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.36%E -1.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 23:40
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.01%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.05%E -2.14%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-03 23:39
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.01%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.41%E -3.15%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-03 23:39
picklebet_au🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.01%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-04 01:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.01%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.82%E -5.80%K -22.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-04 01:20
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.64%E -3.00%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.41%E -3.15%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-03 23:39
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.64%E -3.00%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.41%E -3.15%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-03 23:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.83%EV -8.96%E -3.12%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.17%EV -8.51%E -6.35%K -25.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-04 01:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -9.59%E -3.37%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -8.51%E -6.35%K -25.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-04 01:19
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.18%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.41%E -3.15%K -11.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-04 00:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -0.997%E -0.688%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-04 01:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -0.997%E -0.688%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-04 01:15
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -0.997%E -0.688%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-04 01:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -0.997%E -0.688%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-04 01:15
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:40
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:14
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:15
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:15
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:15
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:15
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:15
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.41%E -3.15%K -11.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-04 01:38
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.41%E -3.15%K -11.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-04 01:39
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.35%E -5.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.997%E -0.688%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-04 01:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50%EV -14.35%E -5.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 67.50%EV -11.24%E -8.65%K -37.46%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-03 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -15.94%E -6.01%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -0.314%E -0.215%K -0.683%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-04 01:40
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -15.94%E -6.01%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -0.314%E -0.215%K -0.683%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-04 01:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.41%EV -16.57%E -6.30%K -10.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.59%EV -5.78%E -4.19%K -15.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-04 01:15
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -16.89%E -6.45%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-04 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -16.89%E -6.45%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-04 01:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎2.99I 33.44%NM 33.26%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.74%0.6%2026-11-04 01:45
ProphetX◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%1.4%2026-11-04 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.6%2026-11-04 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.6%2026-11-04 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.6%2026-11-04 01:35
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%3.0%2026-11-04 01:35
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 30.60%1.12I 89.29%NM 69.40%28.7%2026-11-04 01:35