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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Thiago Agustin Tirante v Jan-Lennard Struff

2026-11-04 15:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)

Predicción 31.72%3.15momio equitativo
EV -0.076%
Ventaja -0.024%
Kelly -0.035%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.49%32.13%31.76%35.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.622.872.873.1538.17%34.89%34.84%31.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jan-Lennard Struff (Visitante)

Predicción 68.28%1.46momio equitativo
EV -0.314%
Ventaja -0.215%
Kelly -0.683%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.48%67.87%68.24%69.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.401.401.4676.92%71.35%71.43%68.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local): 31.72%; Jan-Lennard Struff (Visitante): 68.28%. Para Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.152. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.150, con un valor esperado de -0.076%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -0.076%E -0.024%K -0.035%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -5.09%E -3.66%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-04 01:20
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.66%E -0.536%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.78%E -4.19%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-04 01:20
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.66%E -0.536%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.78%E -4.19%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-04 01:20
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.66%E -0.536%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.78%E -4.19%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-04 00:45
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.66%E -0.536%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 21:35
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.66%E -0.536%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 21:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.66%E -0.536%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.66%E -0.536%K -0.791%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 22:10
DraftKings🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -2.30%E -0.746%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -5.78%E -4.19%K -15.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-04 00:45
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -3.25%E -1.06%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.05%E -2.14%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-04 01:39
Fanatics🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.25%E -1.06%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.46%E -4.71%K -17.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:20
GTbets🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.05%EV -4.20%E -1.39%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.95%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-04 01:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.83%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.46%E -4.71%K -17.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-04 01:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.83%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-03 21:30
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.83%E -1.61%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-04 01:19
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.42%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.41%E -3.15%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-04 01:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -6.42%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.09%E -3.66%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:39
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.42%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.82%E -5.80%K -22.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-04 01:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.42%E -2.18%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.82%E -5.80%K -22.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-03 21:30
ReBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 31.47%EV -6.74%E -2.29%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.53%EV -7.82%E -5.80%K -22.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-04 01:19
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.01%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.36%E -1.65%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-03 23:40
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.01%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.05%E -2.14%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-03 23:39
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.01%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.41%E -3.15%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-03 23:39
picklebet_au🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.01%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.14%E -5.25%K -19.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-04 01:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.01%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.82%E -5.80%K -22.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-04 01:20
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.64%E -3.00%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.41%E -3.15%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-03 23:39
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.64%E -3.00%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.41%E -3.15%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-03 23:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.83%EV -8.96%E -3.12%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.17%EV -8.51%E -6.35%K -25.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-04 01:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -9.59%E -3.37%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -8.51%E -6.35%K -25.02%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-04 01:19
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.18%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.41%E -3.15%K -11.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-04 00:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -0.997%E -0.688%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-04 01:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -0.997%E -0.688%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-04 01:15
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -0.997%E -0.688%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-04 01:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -0.997%E -0.688%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-04 01:15
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:40
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:14
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:15
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:15
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:15
Bally Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:15
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 01:15
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.41%E -3.15%K -11.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-04 01:38
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.41%E -3.15%K -11.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-04 01:39
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -14.35%E -5.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -0.997%E -0.688%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-04 01:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50%EV -14.35%E -5.32%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 67.50%EV -11.24%E -8.65%K -37.46%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-03 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -15.94%E -6.01%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -0.314%E -0.215%K -0.683%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-04 01:40
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -15.94%E -6.01%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -0.314%E -0.215%K -0.683%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-04 01:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.41%EV -16.57%E -6.30%K -10.17%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.59%EV -5.78%E -4.19%K -15.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-04 01:15
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -16.89%E -6.45%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-04 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -16.89%E -6.45%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -1.68%E -1.17%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-04 01:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig◎2.99I 33.44%NM 33.26%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.74%0.6%2026-11-04 01:45
ProphetX◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.71%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.29%1.4%2026-11-04 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.6%2026-11-04 01:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.6%2026-11-04 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.6%2026-11-04 01:35
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%3.0%2026-11-04 01:35
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 30.60%1.12I 89.29%NM 69.40%28.7%2026-11-04 01:35