Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nuno Borges v Alex Molcan

2026-11-01 14:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

58%

42%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nuno Borges (Local)

Prediction 57.93%1.73fair odd

EV -2.10%

Edge -1.24%

Kelly -3.05%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.03%57.91%57.89%59.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.551.621.611.6964.52%61.73%62.11%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alex Molcan (Visit)

Prediction 42.07%2.38fair odd

EV -2.39%

Edge -1.03%

Kelly -1.81%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

40.87%42.09%42.11%42.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.102.222.202.3247.62%45.00%45.45%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Nuno Borges (Local): 57.93%; Alex Molcan (Visit): 42.07%. For Nuno Borges (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.69, with an expected value of -2.10%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
LowVig.ag🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.10%E -1.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-11-01 00:14
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.10%E -1.24%K -3.05%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-11-01 00:15
Pinnacle🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.42%E -2.68%K -6.80%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.07%E -1.79%K -3.18%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-10-31 21:25
Betway🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.42%E -2.68%K -6.80%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-31 22:41
PlayUp🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.42%E -2.68%K -6.80%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-10-31 22:40
GTbets🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -6.16%E -3.80%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -2.39%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-31 22:41
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.16%E -3.80%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-31 23:15
BoyleSports🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.16%E -3.80%K -9.93%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.54%E -4.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-10-31 22:00
theScore Bet🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.74%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.34%E -2.37%K -4.27%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-10-31 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.74%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-10-31 21:25
Coral🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.74%E -4.18%K -11.04%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-10-31 21:25
betano_uk🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.32%E -4.57%K -12.19%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-10-31 21:25
Betsson🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.32%E -4.57%K -12.19%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-10-31 23:14
NordicBet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.32%E -4.57%K -12.19%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-10-31 23:15
ReBet🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.32%E -4.57%K -12.19%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-10-31 23:14
Bet Victor🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.32%E -4.57%K -12.19%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.44%E -3.38%K -6.20%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-10-31 21:27
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.90%E -4.97%K -13.38%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.23%E -1.41%K -2.49%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-31 23:14
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%EV -10.21%E -6.59%K -18.57%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.65%E -5.55%K -10.59%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-10-31 22:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
ProphetX◎	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%	2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%	1.6%	2026-11-01 01:00
Smarkets◎	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%	2.6%	2026-10-31 23:45