Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Novak Djokovic v Valentin Vacherot

2026-11-02 10:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

67%

33%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Novak Djokovic (Local)

Prediction 66.75%1.50fair odd

EV -3.88%

Edge -2.70%

Kelly -8.82%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.05%66.76%66.59%68.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.371.411.411.4472.99%70.87%70.92%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Valentin Vacherot (Visit)

Prediction 33.25%3.01fair odd

EV +0.417%

Edge +0.138%

Kelly +0.207%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.98%33.24%33.41%34.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.552.832.853.0239.22%35.34%35.09%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Novak Djokovic (Local): 66.75%; Valentin Vacherot (Visit): 33.25%. For Valentin Vacherot (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.02, producing a positive expected value of +0.417%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 68.02%EV -5.22%E -3.67%K -12.42%G +0.000%	3.02I 33.11%NM 31.98%EV +0.417%E +0.138%K +0.207%G +0.001%	3.5%	2026-11-01 12:00
Coolbet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.88%E -2.70%K -8.82%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -0.248%E -0.083%K -0.124%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-11-01 12:59
1xBet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.55%E -3.18%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -2.91%E -0.996%K -1.51%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-01 12:20
888sport🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.38%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.57%E -1.23%K -1.88%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-01 12:00
Betway🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.38%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.57%E -1.23%K -1.88%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-01 12:20
BetMGM🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.38%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.57%E -1.23%K -1.88%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-01 12:40
GTbets🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.22%E -3.67%K -12.42%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.24%E -1.47%K -2.25%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.38%G +0.000%	2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.57%E -1.59%K -2.44%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-01 12:40
Coral🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.38%G +0.000%	2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -4.57%E -1.59%K -2.44%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-01 12:45
Fanatics🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.55%E -3.18%K -10.58%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.24%E -1.84%K -2.83%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 12:00
Betr (AU)🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.88%E -4.17%K -14.35%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.24%E -1.84%K -2.83%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-01 12:20
DraftKings🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -3.88%E -2.70%K -8.82%G +0.000%	2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -6.57%E -2.34%K -3.63%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-01 12:00
PlayUp🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.22%E -3.67%K -12.42%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-01 12:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.22%E -3.67%K -12.42%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.56%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-01 12:00
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.22%E -3.67%K -12.42%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.56%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-11-01 12:00
Bet Victor🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.38%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.56%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-11-01 11:59
betano_uk🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.55%E -4.68%K -16.38%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.56%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-11-01 11:59
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 65.59%EV -7.22%E -5.19%K -18.51%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.41%EV -11.89%E -4.49%K -7.20%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-11-01 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 65.05%EV -8.55%E -6.24%K -23.12%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 34.95%EV -15.21%E -5.96%K -9.81%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-11-01 12:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%	9.6%	2026-11-01 13:00