Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lorenzo Sonego v Jaume Munar

2026-10-31 14:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

41%

59%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lorenzo Sonego (Local)

Prediction 41.47%2.41fair odd

EV +0.356%

Edge +0.147%

Kelly +0.251%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

39.65%41.47%41.46%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.202.282.262.4245.45%43.84%44.25%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jaume Munar (Visit)

Prediction 58.53%1.71fair odd

EV -2.84%

Edge -1.71%

Kelly -4.30%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.59%58.53%58.54%60.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.571.611.601.6663.69%62.13%62.50%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lorenzo Sonego (Local): 41.47%; Jaume Munar (Visit): 58.53%. For Lorenzo Sonego (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.41. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.42, producing a positive expected value of +0.356%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
GTbets🎯	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV +0.356%E +0.147%K +0.251%G +0.001%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -6.94%E -4.36%K -11.76%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-31 11:55
ReBet🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.21%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.77%E -3.58%K -9.45%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-31 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -2.96%E -1.27%K -2.21%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -6.35%E -3.97%K -10.59%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-31 12:05
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.38%E -1.45%K -2.54%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.42%E -2.08%K -5.27%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-10-31 11:55
LowVig.ag🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.38%E -1.45%K -2.54%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.42%E -2.08%K -5.27%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-10-31 11:55
Pinnacle🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -4.62%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -2.84%E -1.71%K -4.30%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-10-31 12:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.62%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.94%E -4.36%K -11.76%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-31 12:05
theScore Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.62%E -2.01%K -3.55%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -8.11%E -5.16%K -14.22%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-10-31 12:00
NordicBet🎯	2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -6.28%E -2.78%K -4.98%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -8.11%E -5.16%K -14.22%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-10-31 12:05
Betsson🎯	2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%EV -6.28%E -2.78%K -4.98%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%EV -8.11%E -5.16%K -14.22%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-10-31 12:05
Betway🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.42%E -2.08%K -5.27%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-31 12:00
PlayUp🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.60%E -2.82%K -7.29%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.35%E -3.97%K -10.59%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-31 12:00
Coral🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.69%E -2.97%K -5.35%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.35%E -3.97%K -10.59%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-31 12:00
BoyleSports🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.77%E -3.98%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.18%E -3.20%K -8.36%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-10-31 12:10
Bet Victor🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.77%E -3.98%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.35%E -3.97%K -10.59%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-10-31 13:12
betano_uk🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.77%E -3.98%K -7.31%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.35%E -3.97%K -10.59%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-10-31 13:15

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
ProphetX◎	2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%	1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%	1.2%	2026-10-31 12:20
Smarkets◎	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%	1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%	2.3%	2026-10-31 12:35