Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lorenzo Musetti v Hubert Hurkacz

2026-11-02 10:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

48%

52%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lorenzo Musetti (Local)

Prediction 48.26%2.07fair odd

EV -1.55%

Edge -0.760%

Kelly -1.49%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.74%48.15%48.32%50.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.841.951.952.0454.35%51.39%51.28%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hubert Hurkacz (Visit)

Prediction 51.74%1.93fair odd

EV -1.18%

Edge -0.616%

Kelly -1.29%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

49.87%51.85%51.68%53.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.731.821.811.9157.80%55.05%55.40%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lorenzo Musetti (Local): 48.26%; Hubert Hurkacz (Visit): 51.74%. For Hubert Hurkacz (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.91, with an expected value of -1.18%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -1.55%E -0.760%K -1.49%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -7.38%E -4.13%K -9.35%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-10-31 14:30
Pinnacle🎯	2.01I 49.75%NM 48.06%EV -3.00%E -1.49%K -2.97%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.94%EV -3.76%E -2.02%K -4.38%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-10-31 14:30
Coolbet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.48%E -1.74%K -3.48%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.73%E -1.45%K -3.10%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-10-31 14:30
888sport🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.48%E -1.74%K -3.48%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-31 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.48%E -1.74%K -3.48%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-31 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.48%E -1.74%K -3.48%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.58%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-10-31 16:20
1xBet🎯	1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.96%E -1.99%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.76%E -2.02%K -4.38%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-10-31 17:10
Betsson🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.93%E -2.50%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.80%E -2.61%K -5.71%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-31 14:40
NordicBet🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.93%E -2.50%K -5.08%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.80%E -2.61%K -5.71%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-31 14:40
Betway🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.28%E -2.31%K -5.04%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-31 14:30
PlayUp🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.83%E -3.20%K -7.11%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-31 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.58%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-10-31 14:40
theScore Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.89%E -3.02%K -6.20%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.58%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-10-31 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯	1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.38%E -3.29%K -6.78%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-31 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.86%E -3.55%K -7.38%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -6.35%E -3.51%K -7.84%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-10-31 16:20
Fanatics🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.82%E -4.10%K -8.60%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-10-31 16:20
Fliff🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.82%E -4.10%K -8.60%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.31%E -2.90%K -6.40%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-10-31 17:20
Bet Victor🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.82%E -4.10%K -8.60%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.58%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-10-31 15:34
Coral🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.82%E -4.10%K -8.60%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.58%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-10-31 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.82%E -4.10%K -8.60%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.87%E -3.82%K -8.58%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-10-31 14:40
GTbets🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -8.31%E -4.37%K -9.23%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -1.18%E -0.616%K -1.29%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-31 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -9.27%E -4.93%K -10.54%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -8.94%E -5.08%K -11.76%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-10-31 14:40
ReBet🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -9.27%E -4.93%K -10.54%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -8.94%E -5.08%K -11.76%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-10-31 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 48.46%EV -11.20%E -6.09%K -13.34%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -10.49%E -6.06%K -14.37%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-10-31 14:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
ProphetX◎	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%	4.1%	2026-10-31 18:40
Smarkets◎	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%	5.9%	2026-10-31 19:01