Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.51
assuming max odds 3.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hugo Gaston (Local): 67.67%; Vit Kopriva (Visit): 32.33%. For Vit Kopriva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.55%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -10.68%E -8.09%K -33.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +11.55%E +3.35%K +4.71%G +0.545% | 4.7% | 2026-10-31 11:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -11.36%E -8.67%K -36.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +6.70%E +2.03%K +2.91%G +0.195% | 6.6% | 2026-10-31 11:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -10.68%E -8.09%K -33.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV +3.47%E +1.08%K +1.58%G +0.055% | 7.0% | 2026-10-31 11:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -12.03%E -9.26%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +3.47%E +1.08%K +1.58%G +0.055% | 8.2% | 2026-10-31 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -12.03%E -9.26%K -40.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV +3.47%E +1.08%K +1.58%G +0.055% | 8.2% | 2026-10-31 11:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.59%E -3.26%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.59%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-31 10:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.09%EV +0.146%E +0.099%K +0.305%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -10.76%E -3.90%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-31 10:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -3.24%E -2.26%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -10.76%E -3.90%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-31 10:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -1.88%E -1.30%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -11.08%E -4.03%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-31 09:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -12.70%E -4.70%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-31 10:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -5.27%E -3.76%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -12.70%E -4.70%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-31 10:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV +2.18%E +1.44%K +4.27%G +0.093% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -14.64%E -5.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-31 10:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV +2.18%E +1.44%K +4.27%G +0.093% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -14.64%E -5.55%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-31 10:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -2.56%E -1.78%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -15.29%E -5.83%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-31 10:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -2.56%E -1.78%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -15.29%E -5.83%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-31 10:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -2.56%E -1.78%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -15.29%E -5.83%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-31 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV +0.146%E +0.099%K +0.305%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -15.93%E -6.13%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-31 10:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-10-31 11:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64% | 1.8% | 2026-10-31 11:00 |