Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Casper Ruud v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

2026-11-02 12:20 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Casper Ruud (Local)

Prévision 70.32%1.42cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -3.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.44%70.15%70.33%71.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.281.351.341.4078.13%74.21%74.63%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.68%3.37cote équitable
EV +0.325%
Avantage +0.096%
Kelly +0.137%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.24%29.85%29.67%32.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.173.203.3834.48%31.56%31.25%29.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Casper Ruud (Local) : 70.32% ; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visiteur) : 29.68%. Pour Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.37. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.38, pour une espérance positive de +0.325%.

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV +0.325%E +0.096%K +0.137%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.37%E -3.21%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -0.566%E -0.169%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-02 02:25
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:44
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:44
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:45
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:45
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:45
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:44
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 22:45
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.63%EV -4.37%E -3.21%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -2.94%E -0.899%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-02 02:20
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.96%E -2.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.53%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-01 22:45
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.96%E -2.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.53%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-02 02:10
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.37%E -3.21%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.53%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 00:00
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.37%E -3.21%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.53%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-01 23:55
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.07%E -3.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.53%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 23:55
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.07%E -3.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.53%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-02 02:25
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.07%E -3.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.53%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-02 02:25
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.13%EV -2.96%E -2.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV -3.83%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-02 02:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -4.42%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-02 02:15
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.37%E -3.21%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-02 02:09
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.07%E -3.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 02:25
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.07%E -3.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 02:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-02 02:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 23:58
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.18%E -5.44%K -22.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-02 02:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.59%E -6.61%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-02 02:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.07%E -3.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.50%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-02 02:19
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.50%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-02 02:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.50%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-02 02:25
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.37%E -3.21%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-02 02:15
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-02 02:14
picklebet_au🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-02 02:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.18%E -5.44%K -22.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-02 02:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78%EV -9.99%E -7.81%K -35.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 22:45
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -8.58%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-02 02:15
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.96%E -2.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-02 02:14
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.96%E -2.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-02 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.07%E -3.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-02 02:14
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.07%E -3.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-02 02:15
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-02 02:15
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-02 02:19
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-02 02:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.88%E -6.02%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-02 02:25
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.55%E -1.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.92%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-02 02:00
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.55%E -1.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.92%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-02 02:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.55%E -1.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.92%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-02 02:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.55%E -1.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.92%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-02 02:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.96%E -2.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.92%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-02 02:14
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.96%E -2.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.92%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-02 02:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-11-02 02:15
Matchbook◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.8%2026-11-02 02:15
Novig◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-11-02 02:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-11-02 02:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-11-02 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-11-02 02:15