Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Casper Ruud v Juan Manuel Cerundolo

2026-11-02 12:20 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Casper Ruud (Local)

Predicción 70.32%1.42momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -3.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.44%70.15%70.33%71.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.281.351.341.4078.13%74.21%74.63%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante)

Predicción 29.68%3.37momio equitativo
EV +0.325%
Ventaja +0.096%
Kelly +0.137%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.24%29.85%29.67%32.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.173.203.3834.48%31.56%31.25%29.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Casper Ruud (Local): 70.32%; Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante): 29.68%. Para Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.37. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.38, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.325%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV +0.325%E +0.096%K +0.137%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.37%E -3.21%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -0.566%E -0.169%K -0.241%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-02 02:25
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:44
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:44
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:45
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:45
TABtouch🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:45
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:44
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 22:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.05%E -0.621%K -0.891%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 22:45
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.63%EV -4.37%E -3.21%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV -2.94%E -0.899%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-02 02:20
GTbets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.96%E -2.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.53%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-01 22:45
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -2.96%E -2.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -3.53%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-02 02:10
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.37%E -3.21%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.53%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-02 00:00
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.37%E -3.21%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.53%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-01 23:55
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.07%E -3.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.53%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 23:55
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.07%E -3.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.53%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-02 02:25
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.07%E -3.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.53%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-02 02:25
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.13%EV -2.96%E -2.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV -3.83%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-02 02:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -4.42%E -1.37%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-02 02:15
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.37%E -3.21%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-02 02:09
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.07%E -3.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 02:25
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.07%E -3.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-02 02:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-02 02:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 20:00
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 23:58
theScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.18%E -5.44%K -22.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-02 02:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.59%E -6.61%K -28.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.02%E -1.57%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-02 02:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.07%E -3.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.50%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-02 02:19
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.50%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-02 02:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -6.50%E -2.06%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-02 02:25
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.37%E -3.21%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-02 02:15
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-02 02:14
picklebet_au🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-02 02:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -7.18%E -5.44%K -22.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-02 02:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78%EV -9.99%E -7.81%K -35.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.22%EV -7.99%E -2.58%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 22:45
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -5.77%E -4.31%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -8.58%E -2.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-02 02:15
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.96%E -2.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-02 02:14
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.96%E -2.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-02 02:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.07%E -3.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-02 02:14
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.07%E -3.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-02 02:15
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-02 02:15
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-02 02:19
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.48%E -4.87%K -19.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-02 02:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.61%EV -7.88%E -6.02%K -25.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.95%E -3.65%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-02 02:25
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.55%E -1.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.92%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-02 02:00
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.55%E -1.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.92%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-02 02:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.55%E -1.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.92%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-02 02:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.55%E -1.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.92%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-02 02:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.96%E -2.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.92%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-02 02:14
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.96%E -2.15%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.92%E -4.80%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-02 02:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-11-02 02:15
Matchbook◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.68%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.32%1.8%2026-11-02 02:15
Novig◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-11-02 02:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-11-02 02:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-11-02 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-11-02 02:15