Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ben Shelton v Arthur Rinderknech

2026-11-05 11:10 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

73%

27%

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Ben Shelton (Local)

Prévision 72.84%1.37cote équitable

EV -0.932%

Avantage -0.685%

Kelly -2.59%

Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

69.51%72.72%72.92%75.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Distribution des cotes

1.231.301.301.3681.30%76.89%76.92%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.16%3.68cote équitable

EV +5.91%

Avantage +1.51%

Kelly +2.04%

Croissance +0.120%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs

24.42%27.28%27.08%30.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Distribution des cotes

3.053.443.503.9032.79%29.03%28.57%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Ben Shelton (Local) : 72.84% ; Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur) : 27.16%. Pour Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.68. 6 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.90, pour une espérance positive de +5.91%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

Opérateur	Local	Visiteur ▼	Marge	Mise à jour
SportsBet🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -8.22%E -6.52%K -31.60%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +5.91%E +1.51%K +2.04%G +0.120%	5.0%	2026-11-04 19:10
FanDuel🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.14%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +3.19%E +0.840%K +1.14%G +0.036%	4.4%	2026-11-04 19:10
Paddy Power🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.94%E -7.16%K -35.78%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +1.83%E +0.489%K +0.667%G +0.012%	6.7%	2026-11-04 19:10
Sky Bet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.94%E -7.16%K -35.78%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +1.83%E +0.489%K +0.667%G +0.012%	6.7%	2026-11-04 13:25
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -4.57%E -3.49%K -14.75%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV +0.476%E +0.129%K +0.176%G +0.001%	3.4%	2026-11-04 19:20
GTbets🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.14%G +0.000%	3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV +0.204%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-04 14:00
DraftKings🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.03%E -4.68%K -20.80%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.882%E -0.242%K -0.333%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-04 18:35
Bovada🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.57%E -3.49%K -14.75%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.24%E -0.622%K -0.861%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-04 19:20
Betsson🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.24%E -0.622%K -0.861%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-04 19:05
NordicBet🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.24%E -0.622%K -0.861%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-04 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.14%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.24%E -0.622%K -0.861%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-04 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.94%E -7.16%K -35.78%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.24%E -0.622%K -0.861%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-11-04 15:00
Fanatics🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.03%E -4.68%K -20.80%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.60%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-04 19:20
Pinnacle🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 72.54%EV -2.39%E -1.78%K -7.03%G +0.000%	3.54I 28.25%NM 27.46%EV -3.87%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-11-04 20:00
1xBet🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -3.85%E -2.91%K -12.02%G +0.000%	3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -4.14%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-11-04 19:20
Coolbet🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.39%E -1.78%K -7.03%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-11-04 19:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.57%E -3.49%K -14.75%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-04 15:25
Betway🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-04 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-04 14:35
Grosvenor🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-04 14:35
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-04 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-04 14:35
Unibet🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-04 14:35
TABtouch🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-04 14:35
BetRivers🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-04 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-04 14:35
Casumo🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-04 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-04 14:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-04 14:35
betPARX🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-04 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-04 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-04 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.03%E -4.68%K -20.80%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-04 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.03%E -4.68%K -20.80%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-04 19:45
theScore Bet🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.14%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-04 13:20
Fliff🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.03%E -4.68%K -20.80%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.31%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-11-04 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.14%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.31%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-04 19:19
Bet Right🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.85%E -2.91%K -12.02%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-04 19:20
picklebet_au🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.14%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-11-04 19:20
LeoVegas🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.14%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-11-04 20:05
ReBet🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.49%E -5.90%K -27.73%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-11-04 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.39%E -1.78%K -7.03%G +0.000%	3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -8.49%E -2.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-04 19:20
LowVig.ag🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.39%E -1.78%K -7.03%G +0.000%	3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -8.49%E -2.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-04 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.57%E -3.49%K -14.75%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.03%E -2.70%K -3.84%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-04 19:50
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -7.49%E -5.90%K -27.73%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.03%E -2.70%K -3.84%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-11-04 19:20
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -8.22%E -6.52%K -31.60%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.03%E -2.70%K -3.84%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-11-04 20:00
888sport🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.12%E -2.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-04 19:10
William Hill🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.12%E -2.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-04 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.12%E -2.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-04 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.12%E -2.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-04 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37%EV -8.22%E -6.52%K -31.60%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-11-04 14:35
Bet Victor🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.74%E -3.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-04 19:45
betano_uk🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.74%E -3.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-04 19:45
BetMGM🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -2.39%E -1.78%K -7.03%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -13.10%E -4.09%K -5.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-04 19:25
BoyleSports🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -13.10%E -4.09%K -5.96%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-11-04 19:25
PlayUp🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.932%E -0.685%K -2.59%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -15.82%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-04 19:50
Neds🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -1.66%E -1.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -15.82%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-04 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -1.66%E -1.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -15.82%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-04 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.12%E -2.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.82%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-11-04 19:25
Coral🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.12%E -2.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.82%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-11-04 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 71.26%EV -10.40%E -8.46%K -45.22%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -17.18%E -5.63%K -8.38%G +0.000%	14.1%	2026-11-04 19:20

Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

Opérateur	Local	Visiteur	Marge ▲	Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%	3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%	0.4%	2026-11-04 20:05
Matchbook◎	1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%	3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%	0.4%	2026-11-04 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%	3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%	0.8%	2026-11-04 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%	3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%	0.8%	2026-11-04 20:00
ProphetX◎	1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%	3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%	1.3%	2026-11-04 19:50
Novig◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%	3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%	2.1%	2026-11-04 20:00
Smarkets◎	1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%	3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%	2.8%	2026-11-04 20:00

Arbitrage (4 combinaisons) +0.84%PlayUp 1.36 (74.1%) / SportsBet 3.90 (25.9%)Afficher les 4 combinaisons

Ben Shelton (Local)	Arthur Rinderknech (Visiteur)	Marge
PlayUp🎯 1.36 (74.1%)	SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.9%)	+0.837%
Neds🎯 1.35 (74.3%)	SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.7%)	+0.286%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.35 (74.3%)	SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.7%)	+0.286%
PlayUp🎯 1.36 (73.6%)	FanDuel🎯 3.80 (26.4%)	+0.155%