La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Ben Shelton v Arthur Rinderknech

2026-11-05 11:10 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Ben Shelton (Local)

Predicción 72.84%1.37momio equitativo
EV -0.932%
Ventaja -0.685%
Kelly -2.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.51%72.72%72.92%75.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.231.301.301.3681.30%76.89%76.92%73.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante)

Predicción 27.16%3.68momio equitativo
EV +5.91%
Ventaja +1.51%
Kelly +2.04%
Crecimiento +0.120%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.42%27.28%27.08%30.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.053.443.503.9032.79%29.03%28.57%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Ben Shelton (Local): 72.84%; Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante): 27.16%. Para Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.68. 6 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.90, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +5.91%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -8.22%E -6.52%K -31.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +5.91%E +1.51%K +2.04%G +0.120%5.0%2026-11-04 19:10
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +3.19%E +0.840%K +1.14%G +0.036%4.4%2026-11-04 19:10
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.94%E -7.16%K -35.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +1.83%E +0.489%K +0.667%G +0.012%6.7%2026-11-04 19:10
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.94%E -7.16%K -35.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +1.83%E +0.489%K +0.667%G +0.012%6.7%2026-11-04 13:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%EV -4.57%E -3.49%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV +0.476%E +0.129%K +0.176%G +0.001%3.4%2026-11-04 19:20
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV +0.204%E +0.055%K +0.076%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-04 14:00
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.03%E -4.68%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.882%E -0.242%K -0.333%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-04 18:35
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.57%E -3.49%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.24%E -0.622%K -0.861%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-04 19:20
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.24%E -0.622%K -0.861%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-04 19:05
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -2.24%E -0.622%K -0.861%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-04 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -2.24%E -0.622%K -0.861%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-04 20:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.94%E -7.16%K -35.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.24%E -0.622%K -0.861%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-04 15:00
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.03%E -4.68%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -3.60%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-04 19:20
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.54%EV -2.39%E -1.78%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.46%EV -3.87%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-04 20:00
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -3.85%E -2.91%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -4.14%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-04 19:20
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.31%EV -2.39%E -1.78%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.69%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-04 19:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.57%E -3.49%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-04 15:25
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 14:35
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 14:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 14:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 14:35
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 14:35
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 14:35
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 14:35
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 14:35
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 14:35
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.03%E -4.68%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-04 19:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.03%E -4.68%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-04 19:45
theScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.96%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-04 13:20
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.03%E -4.68%K -20.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.31%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-04 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.31%E -1.83%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-04 19:19
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.85%E -2.91%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-04 19:20
picklebet_au🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-04 19:20
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.76%E -5.28%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-04 20:05
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -7.49%E -5.90%K -27.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.67%E -2.26%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-04 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.39%E -1.78%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -8.49%E -2.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-04 19:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -2.39%E -1.78%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -8.49%E -2.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-04 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.57%E -3.49%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.03%E -2.70%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-04 19:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -7.49%E -5.90%K -27.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -9.03%E -2.70%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-04 19:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.67%EV -8.22%E -6.52%K -31.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.03%E -2.70%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-04 20:00
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.12%E -2.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 19:10
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.12%E -2.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.12%E -2.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.12%E -2.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-04 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37%EV -8.22%E -6.52%K -31.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.39%E -3.15%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-04 14:35
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.74%E -3.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-04 19:45
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.74%E -3.61%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-04 19:45
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -2.39%E -1.78%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -13.10%E -4.09%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-04 19:25
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.30%E -4.08%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -13.10%E -4.09%K -5.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-04 19:25
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.932%E -0.685%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -15.82%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-04 19:50
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -1.66%E -1.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -15.82%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-04 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -1.66%E -1.23%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -15.82%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-04 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.12%E -2.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.82%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-04 19:25
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.12%E -2.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -15.82%E -5.10%K -7.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-04 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.26%EV -10.40%E -8.46%K -45.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -17.18%E -5.63%K -8.38%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-04 19:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-11-04 20:05
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-11-04 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-11-04 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-11-04 20:00
ProphetX◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-11-04 19:50
Novig◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-11-04 20:00
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%2.8%2026-11-04 20:00
Arbitraje (4 combinaciones) +0.84%PlayUp 1.36 (74.1%) / SportsBet 3.90 (25.9%)Ver las 4 combinaciones
Ben Shelton (Local)Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante)Margen
PlayUp🎯 1.36 (74.1%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.837%
Neds🎯 1.35 (74.3%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.286%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.35 (74.3%)SportsBet🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.286%
PlayUp🎯 1.36 (73.6%)FanDuel🎯 3.80 (26.4%)+0.155%