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Arthur Fils v Taylor Fritz

2026-11-05 19:30 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Arthur Fils (Local)

Prediction 52.71%1.90fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -3.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.37%52.78%52.67%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.781.791.8458.14%56.18%55.71%54.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Taylor Fritz (Visit)

Prediction 47.29%2.11fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%47.22%47.33%47.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.992.002.0652.63%50.15%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Arthur Fils (Local): 52.71%; Taylor Fritz (Visit): 47.29%. For Taylor Fritz (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.06, with an expected value of -2.58%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -3.02%E -1.64%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.05%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-05 00:55
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.60%E -2.54%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.53%E -1.73%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-05 00:59
NordicBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.60%E -2.54%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.94%E -2.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-05 01:00
Betsson🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.60%E -2.54%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.94%E -2.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-05 01:00
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -4.60%E -2.54%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -5.89%E -2.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-05 00:55
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.05%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-05 00:55
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.05%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-05 00:56
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.53%E -1.73%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-05 00:55
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.47%E -2.21%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-05 00:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-05 00:59
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-05 00:55
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-05 00:55
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-05 00:55
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-05 00:54
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-05 01:00
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.12%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-05 01:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.65%E -3.16%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -5.89%E -2.96%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-05 01:00
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -6.18%E -3.47%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -2.58%E -1.25%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-05 00:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.18%E -3.47%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -7.31%E -3.73%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-05 00:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.71%E -3.79%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-05 01:00
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.71%E -3.79%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.42%E -2.71%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-05 01:00
ReBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.23%E -4.11%K -9.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.78%E -3.99%K -8.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-05 01:00
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.76%E -4.43%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.05%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-05 00:55
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.76%E -4.43%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.05%E -1.49%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-05 00:55
picklebet_au🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.76%E -4.43%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.78%E -3.99%K -8.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-05 01:00
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.76%E -4.43%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.78%E -3.99%K -8.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-05 00:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.76%E -4.43%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.78%E -3.99%K -8.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-05 01:00
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.76%E -4.43%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.78%E -3.99%K -8.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-05 00:53
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.76%E -4.43%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.78%E -3.99%K -8.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-05 00:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -8.81%E -5.10%K -12.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -9.20%E -4.79%K -10.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-05 01:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -8.81%E -5.10%K -12.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -9.20%E -4.79%K -10.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-05 00:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.49%EV -9.34%E -5.43%K -12.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.51%EV -10.15%E -5.34%K -11.27%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-05 01:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-11-05 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-11-05 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-11-05 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-11-05 01:00
Novig◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.28%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.72%1.4%2026-11-05 00:55
ProphetX◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-11-05 01:00
Smarkets◎1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-11-05 01:00