Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andrey Rublev v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

2026-11-01 10:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

68%

32%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andrey Rublev (Local)

Prediction 68.49%1.46fair odd

EV -3.44%

Edge -2.44%

Kelly -8.38%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

67.00%68.87%68.49%71.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.331.371.381.4175.19%72.96%72.46%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit)

Prediction 31.51%3.17fair odd

EV +6.84%

Edge +2.02%

Kelly +2.86%

Growth +0.195%

assuming max odds 3.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.18%31.13%31.51%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.703.013.003.3937.04%33.20%33.33%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Andrey Rublev (Local): 68.49%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit): 31.51%. For Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.39, producing a positive expected value of +6.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
DraftKings🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -8.91%E -6.70%K -27.01%G +0.000%	3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV +6.84%E +2.02%K +2.86%G +0.195%	4.7%	2026-10-31 10:35
888sport🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.91%E -6.70%K -27.01%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +4.00%E +1.21%K +1.74%G +0.070%	5.5%	2026-10-31 09:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.91%E -6.70%K -27.01%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +4.00%E +1.21%K +1.74%G +0.070%	5.5%	2026-10-31 09:40
888sport (SE)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -8.91%E -6.70%K -27.01%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +4.00%E +1.21%K +1.74%G +0.070%	5.5%	2026-10-31 09:39
Coolbet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -4.12%E -2.94%K -10.30%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -0.728%E -0.231%K -0.339%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-10-31 09:39
PlayUp🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.06%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.30%E -0.743%K -1.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 09:40
GTbets🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -4.81%E -3.46%K -12.32%G +0.000%	3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -4.19%E -1.38%K -2.06%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-31 09:40
1xBet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.10%EV -3.44%E -2.44%K -8.38%G +0.000%	3.01I 33.22%NM 31.90%EV -5.14%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-31 09:39
NordicBet🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.81%E -3.46%K -12.32%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-31 12:05
Betsson🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.81%E -3.46%K -12.32%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-31 12:05
Unibet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 09:39
BetRivers🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 09:39
Casumo🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 09:40
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 09:40
Betr (AU)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 09:39
TABtouch🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 09:39
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 09:39
Fanatics🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 10:15
Grosvenor🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 09:39
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 09:40
Betway🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 09:39
Bally Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 09:40
ATG (SE)🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 09:40
Svenska Spel🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 09:40
betPARX🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 09:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-31 10:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.06%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.46%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-31 09:40
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.18%E -4.51%K -16.69%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.03%E -2.38%K -3.61%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-31 09:40
theScore Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.49%E -3.98%K -14.45%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.61%E -2.97%K -4.53%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-31 09:40
Bet Victor🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.06%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.24%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-31 09:37
betano_uk🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.06%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.24%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-31 09:40
ReBet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.86%E -5.04%K -19.06%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -9.24%E -3.21%K -4.91%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-31 10:15
PMU (FR)🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -8.23%E -6.14%K -24.21%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -10.18%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-10-31 09:40
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%EV -7.55%E -5.59%K -21.56%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%EV -11.76%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-10-31 09:39
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -8.91%E -6.70%K -27.01%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -14.91%E -5.52%K -8.77%G +0.000%	12.2%	2026-10-31 09:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	1.34I 74.63%NM 67.63%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%	10.3%	2026-10-31 10:15
ProphetX◎	1.27I 78.74%NM 64.12%	2.27I 44.05%NM 35.88%	22.8%	2026-10-31 13:00