The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
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Alex Molcan v Daniel Altmaier

2026-10-31 16:00 UTC — ATP Paris Masters

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alex Molcan (Local)

Prediction 53.94%1.85fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -3.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.95%53.89%55.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.751.751.8059.52%57.26%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Daniel Altmaier (Visit)

Prediction 46.06%2.17fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.884%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.68%46.05%46.11%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.062.1351.28%48.92%48.54%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alex Molcan (Local): 53.94%; Daniel Altmaier (Visit): 46.06%. For Daniel Altmaier (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.13, with an expected value of -1.88%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -2.92%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -5.11%E -2.48%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 11:25
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.92%E -1.62%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.87%E -3.94%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 09:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.99%E -2.24%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.73%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-31 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.99%E -2.24%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.73%E -1.78%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-31 11:55
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.99%E -2.24%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.19%E -2.01%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-31 12:05
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.53%E -2.56%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.87%E -3.94%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-31 11:30
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.61%E -3.21%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.57%E -2.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.61%E -3.21%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.87%E -3.94%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 12:05
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.61%E -3.21%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.87%E -3.94%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 12:05
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.61%E -3.21%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 11:25
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.61%E -3.21%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-31 11:25
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.69%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.87%E -3.94%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 09:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -7.23%E -4.20%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -1.88%E -0.884%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-31 09:40
ReBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -7.77%E -4.54%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.77%E -4.54%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.27%E -1.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 09:40
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.39%E -5.59%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -4.65%E -2.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 09:39
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.39%E -5.59%K -13.81%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -4.65%E -2.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 09:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-10-31 12:40
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%6.8%2026-10-31 12:40