L’École des cotesodds.tennis
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Learner Tien

Coup d’envoi : 2026-11-03 12:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local)

Prévision 23.07%4.34cote équitable
EV +7.95%
Avantage +1.70%
Kelly +2.16%
Croissance +0.172%

avec la cote maximale 4.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.41%22.98%23.08%26.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.304.044.004.6830.30%24.76%25.00%21.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Learner Tien (Visiteur)

Prévision 76.93%1.30cote équitable
EV -3.06%
Avantage -2.43%
Kelly -11.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.99%77.02%76.92%79.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.161.231.241.2686.21%81.14%80.65%79.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local) : 23.07% ; Learner Tien (Visiteur) : 76.93%. Pour Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.34. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.68, soit une espérance positive de +7.95%.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings🎯4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV +7.95%E +1.70%K +2.16%G +0.172%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.59%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 11:55
SportsBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV +2.64%E +0.593%K +0.765%G +0.020%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 10:20
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.49%E +0.338%K +0.437%G +0.007%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-03 10:20
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -0.128%E -0.029%K -0.038%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-03 10:30
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.128%E -0.029%K -0.038%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-03 10:20
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -1.97%E -0.464%K -0.607%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-03 11:05
Coolbet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -3.13%E -0.744%K -0.977%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.06%E -2.43%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-03 11:35
Pinnacle🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -3.13%E -0.744%K -0.977%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.06%E -2.43%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-03 11:00
Fanatics🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.13%E -0.744%K -0.977%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 11:50
Betsson🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.13%E -0.744%K -0.977%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 11:55
NordicBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.13%E -0.744%K -0.977%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 11:55
ReBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.13%E -0.744%K -0.977%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-03 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.05%E -0.973%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-03 11:09
LowVig.ag🎯4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.05%E -0.973%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-03 11:10
Bet Right🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.43%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.60%E -3.71%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 11:10
Unibet (UK)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.43%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.60%E -3.71%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 11:19
theScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.43%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.37%E -4.37%K -23.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-03 10:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.43%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-03 10:20
LeoVegas🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.43%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-03 11:54
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.43%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-03 10:49
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.43%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-03 11:55
1xBet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -6.59%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.06%E -2.43%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-03 11:20
GTbets🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.72%EV -7.28%E -1.81%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.28%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-03 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 11:55
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 11:54
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 11:54
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 11:55
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 11:55
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 11:54
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 11:54
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 11:54
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 11:54
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 11:54
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 11:54
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 10:20
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 10:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-03 11:35
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.60%E -3.71%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 10:10
Marathon Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.60%E -3.71%K -19.17%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-03 11:19
picklebet_au🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-03 10:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-03 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-03 10:50
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-03 10:50
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.78%EV -6.91%E -5.71%K -32.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-03 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-03 10:39
Betclic (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -7.74%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -8.45%E -7.10%K -44.46%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-03 11:39
Betr (AU)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -8.89%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.60%E -3.71%K -19.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-03 11:35
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -11.20%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-03 11:05
NetBet (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -11.20%E -2.91%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-03 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-03 10:50
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.83%E -3.07%K -15.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-03 10:50
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.35%E -3.25%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.60%E -3.71%K -19.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-03 11:05
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-03 11:08
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.14%E -5.03%K -27.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-03 11:09
PMU (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.51%E -3.60%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.68%E -6.40%K -38.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-03 10:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.01%EV -23.88%E -7.24%K -10.38%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 73.99%EV -10.76%E -9.27%K -67.22%G +0.000%16.5%2026-11-03 11:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-11-03 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%1.5%2026-11-03 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%1.5%2026-11-03 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%1.5%2026-11-03 11:55
Novig◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40%1.7%2026-11-03 11:35
Smarkets◎4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%3.3%2026-11-03 11:50
ProphetX◎4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%3.5%2026-11-03 11:55