Language:English
Tallon Griekspoor v Denis Shapovalov
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tallon Griekspoor (Local)
Prediction 49.24%2.03fair odd
EV -0.542%
Edge -0.268%
Kelly -0.532%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%49.24%49.08%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.921.922.0257.80%52.19%52.08%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Denis Shapovalov (Visit)
Prediction 50.76%1.97fair odd
EV +1.53%
Edge +0.764%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%50.76%50.92%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.861.852.0058.48%53.86%54.05%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tallon Griekspoor (Local): 49.24%; Denis Shapovalov (Visit): 50.76%. For Denis Shapovalov (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.53%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -10.39%E -5.71%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV +1.53%E +0.764%K +1.53%G +0.023% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -14.82%E -8.57%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +1.53%E +0.764%K +1.53%G +0.023% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -14.82%E -8.57%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +1.53%E +0.764%K +1.53%G +0.023% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV +0.512%E +0.258%K +0.522%G +0.003% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -10.39%E -5.71%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV +0.512%E +0.258%K +0.522%G +0.003% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV +0.004%E +0.002%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV +0.004%E +0.002%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -2.03%E -1.05%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -6.94%E -3.67%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -3.04%E -1.59%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.44%E -3.96%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -3.04%E -1.59%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.45%E -3.40%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.91%E -4.82%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -11.37%E -6.32%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -11.37%E -6.32%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -3.55%E -1.87%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 08:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -9.90%E -5.41%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -4.56%E -2.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.05%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.99%E -2.05%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.07%E -2.71%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.58%E -3.00%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.99%E -2.05%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.48%E -2.31%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.45%E -3.40%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.09%E -3.29%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -1.53%E -0.764%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -6.60%E -3.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.45%E -3.40%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.60%E -3.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 08:58 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -2.02%E -1.01%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.99%E -2.05%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.96%E -3.12%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.44%E -3.96%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.44%E -3.96%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.93%E -4.24%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.10%E -3.88%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-14 08:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -0.542%E -0.268%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -7.61%E -4.18%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.47%E -2.85%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.61%E -4.18%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -5.47%E -2.85%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -7.61%E -4.18%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.00%E -1.52%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -8.12%E -4.49%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -3.00%E -1.52%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -8.12%E -4.49%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.53%E -0.764%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.53%E -0.764%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.53%E -0.764%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.53%E -0.764%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.53%E -0.764%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.99%E -2.05%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.45%E -3.40%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 08:57 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -6.94%E -3.67%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.22%EV -8.63%E -4.79%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -0.542%E -0.268%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -9.64%E -5.42%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -2.51%E -1.27%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -9.64%E -5.42%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -1.53%E -0.764%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -13.19%E -7.72%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49% | 0.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85% | 1.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48% | 3.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |