Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Flavio Cobolli v Vit Kopriva

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Flavio Cobolli (Local)

Prediction 68.81%1.45fair odd
EV -0.912%
Edge -0.633%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.22%68.56%68.76%70.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.361.4475.76%72.90%73.53%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vit Kopriva (Visit)

Prediction 31.19%3.21fair odd
EV -0.196%
Edge -0.061%
Kelly -0.089%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%31.44%31.24%34.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.043.053.2037.04%32.91%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Flavio Cobolli (Local): 68.81%; Vit Kopriva (Visit): 31.19%. For Vit Kopriva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -0.196%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -0.912%E -0.633%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -15.79%E -5.85%K -9.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -1.60%E -1.12%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 07:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -1.60%E -1.12%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 07:00
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.29%E -1.61%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -14.23%E -5.17%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 09:15
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 69.28%EV -2.98%E -2.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.72%EV -0.820%E -0.258%K -0.376%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-17 08:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -2.98%E -2.11%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-17 05:44
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.66%E -2.62%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 08:00
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -3.66%E -2.62%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -7.68%E -2.59%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.66%E -2.62%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 06:09
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.66%E -2.62%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 18:20
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.66%E -2.62%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.66%E -2.62%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 21:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.66%E -2.62%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-15 21:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.35%E -3.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 07:46
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -4.35%E -3.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -4.56%E -1.49%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 07:00
Bet Right🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.35%E -3.13%K -11.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 06:44
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -5.04%E -3.65%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -1.13%E -0.357%K -0.521%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 08:14
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.04%E -3.65%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 07:07
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -5.04%E -3.65%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -4.25%E -1.38%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 07:49
ReBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.04%E -3.65%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 08:15
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.04%E -3.65%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 06:09
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.04%E -3.65%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 08:00
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.04%E -3.65%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 06:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.04%E -3.65%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.99%E -2.71%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 05:44
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.04%E -3.65%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 06:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 06:14
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 07:49
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 07:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 07:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.73%E -4.18%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 07:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.196%E -0.061%K -0.089%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 08:00
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.76%E -0.557%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 07:50
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.76%E -0.557%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 07:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.76%E -0.557%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 07:49
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.76%E -0.557%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 07:50
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.76%E -0.557%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 07:49
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.76%E -0.557%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 07:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.76%E -0.557%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 07:49
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.76%E -0.557%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 07:50
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.76%E -0.557%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 07:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.76%E -0.557%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 07:50
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.76%E -0.557%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 08:00
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.76%E -0.557%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 08:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.76%E -0.557%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 07:58
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.76%E -0.557%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 08:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -2.69%E -0.862%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 07:49
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 07:00
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 07:07
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 07:50
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 22:09
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 08:14
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.42%E -4.72%K -17.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.55%E -3.29%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 15:50
Fliff🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.10%E -5.26%K -20.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 07:59
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.10%E -5.26%K -20.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 07:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.10%E -5.26%K -20.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 07:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.10%E -5.26%K -20.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 07:10
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.10%E -5.26%K -20.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 07:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.10%E -5.26%K -20.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 07:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.79%E -5.82%K -22.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 07:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -7.79%E -5.82%K -22.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 07:50
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.18%EV -8.48%E -6.38%K -25.70%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.82%EV -2.38%E -0.760%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 07:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -8.48%E -6.38%K -25.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -4.87%E -1.60%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 07:50
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.48%E -6.38%K -25.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.43%E -2.14%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 05:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.17%E -6.95%K -28.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 07:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-04-17 08:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-04-17 08:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-04-17 08:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-04-17 08:39
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.33%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.67%1.6%2026-04-17 08:35
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-04-17 08:39
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-04-17 08:30