Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ugo Humbert v Jannik Sinner

Inizio: 2026-04-07 11:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

33 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

95%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Ugo Humbert (Casa)

Previsione 4.74%21.11quota equa

EV +117.95%

Vantaggio +2.56%

Kelly +2.62%

Crescita +3.09%

ipotizzando la quota massima 46.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

2.15%4.91%4.59%9.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

10.0022.1921.0046.0010.00%4.51%4.76%2.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Jannik Sinner (Trasferta)

Previsione 95.26%1.05quota equa

EV -0.927%

Vantaggio -0.892%

Kelly -23.19%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

90.83%95.09%95.41%97.85%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Distribuzione delle quote

1.001.011.011.04100.00%98.98%99.01%96.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Ugo Humbert (Casa): 4.74%; Jannik Sinner (Trasferta): 95.26%. Per Ugo Humbert (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 21.11. 13 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 46.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +117.95%.

Quote dei bookmaker (33 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa ▼	Trasferta	Margine	Aggiornamento
FanDuel🎯	46.00I 2.17%NM 2.15%EV +117.95%E +2.56%K +2.62%G +3.09%	1.01I 99.01%NM 97.85%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000%	1.2%	2026-04-07 10:48
DraftKings🎯	42.00I 2.38%NM 2.33%EV +98.99%E +2.36%K +2.41%G +2.39%	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.67%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-04-07 10:50
Paddy Power🎯	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +94.26%E +2.30%K +2.36%G +2.22%	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-04-07 10:50
Coral🎯	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +94.26%E +2.30%K +2.36%G +2.22%	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-04-07 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +94.26%E +2.30%K +2.36%G +2.22%	1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000%	2.4%	2026-04-07 10:50
Winamax (DE)🎯	30.00I 3.33%NM 3.26%EV +42.14%E +1.40%K +1.45%G +0.612%	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.74%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-04-07 10:46
Winamax (FR)🎯	29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +37.40%E +1.29%K +1.34%G +0.500%	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-04-07 10:50
BetMGM🎯	29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +37.40%E +1.29%K +1.34%G +0.500%	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-04-07 10:49
Bovada🎯	29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +37.40%E +1.29%K +1.34%G +0.500%	1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-04-07 10:49
theScore Bet🎯	26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +23.19%E +0.892%K +0.927%G +0.215%	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-04-07 10:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +18.45%E +0.738%K +0.769%G +0.142%	1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-04-07 10:45
Pinnacle🎯	23.06I 4.34%NM 4.32%EV +9.26%E +0.401%K +0.420%G +0.039%	1.04I 96.15%NM 95.68%EV -0.927%E -0.892%K -23.19%G +0.000%	0.5%	2026-04-07 10:45
Unibet (UK)🎯	23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +8.97%E +0.390%K +0.408%G +0.037%	1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-04-07 10:50
BoyleSports🎯	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV -0.503%E -0.024%K -0.025%G +0.000%	1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -2.83%E -2.78%K -141.64%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-04-07 10:45
888sport🎯	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -0.503%E -0.024%K -0.025%G +0.000%	1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-07 10:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -0.503%E -0.024%K -0.025%G +0.000%	1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-07 10:50
888sport (SE)🎯	21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -0.503%E -0.024%K -0.025%G +0.000%	1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-07 10:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯	18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV -14.72%E -0.818%K -0.866%G +0.000%	1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -2.83%E -2.78%K -141.64%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-04-07 10:44
Coolbet🎯	17.25I 5.80%NM 5.53%EV -18.27%E -1.06%K -1.12%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.47%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-04-07 10:50
Betway🎯	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -19.45%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-04-07 10:45
Fanatics🎯	17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -19.45%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000%	1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-07 10:50
Betsson🎯	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.93%E -1.93%K -2.07%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-04-07 10:50
NordicBet🎯	15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.93%E -1.93%K -2.07%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-04-07 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -33.67%E -2.40%K -2.59%G +0.000%	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -2.83%E -2.78%K -141.64%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-04-07 10:44
Unibet🎯	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -33.67%E -2.40%K -2.59%G +0.000%	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -2.83%E -2.78%K -141.64%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-04-07 10:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯	14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -33.67%E -2.40%K -2.59%G +0.000%	1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -2.83%E -2.78%K -141.64%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-04-07 10:44
Caesars🎯	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -38.41%E -2.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-07 10:47
Virgin Bet🎯	13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -38.41%E -2.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-07 10:45
LiveScore Bet🎯	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -40.78%E -3.26%K -3.55%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-07 10:44
Bet Victor🎯	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -43.14%E -3.60%K -3.92%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-04-07 10:49
Tipico (DE)🎯	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -47.88%E -4.35%K -4.79%G +0.000%	1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -2.83%E -2.78%K -141.64%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-07 10:43
LeoVegas🎯	10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -50.25%E -4.79%K -5.29%G +0.000%	1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -2.83%E -2.78%K -141.64%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-07 10:43
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -52.62%E -5.26%K -5.85%G +0.000%	1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-04-07 10:44

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	48.00I 2.08%NM 2.08%	1.02I 98.04%NM 97.92%	0.1%	2026-04-07 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37%	1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%	0.4%	2026-04-07 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%	1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%	1.0%	2026-04-07 10:50
Smarkets◎	50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%	1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%	1.0%	2026-04-07 10:50
Matchbook◎	38.00I 2.63%NM 2.59%	1.01I 99.01%NM 97.41%	1.6%	2026-04-07 10:50
ProphetX◎	33.00I 3.03%NM 2.97%	1.01I 99.01%NM 97.03%	2.0%	2026-04-07 10:50
Novig◎	30.30I 3.30%NM 3.19%	1.00I 100.00%NM 96.81%	3.3%	2026-04-07 10:50