La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Ugo Humbert v Jannik Sinner
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Ugo Humbert (Casa)
Previsione 4.74%21.11quota equa
EV +117.95%
Vantaggio +2.56%
Kelly +2.62%
Crescita +3.09%
ipotizzando la quota massima 46.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
2.15%4.91%4.59%9.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
10.0022.1921.0046.0010.00%4.51%4.76%2.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Jannik Sinner (Trasferta)
Previsione 95.26%1.05quota equa
EV -0.927%
Vantaggio -0.892%
Kelly -23.19%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.04
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
90.83%95.09%95.41%97.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.001.011.011.04100.00%98.98%99.01%96.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (33 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.15%EV +117.95%E +2.56%K +2.62%G +3.09% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.85%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000% | 1.2% | 2026-04-07 10:48 |
| DraftKings | 42.00I 2.38%NM 2.33%EV +98.99%E +2.36%K +2.41%G +2.39% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.67%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-07 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +94.26%E +2.30%K +2.36%G +2.22% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-07 10:50 |
| Coral | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +94.26%E +2.30%K +2.36%G +2.22% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-07 10:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.38%EV +94.26%E +2.30%K +2.36%G +2.22% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.62%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-07 10:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.26%EV +42.14%E +1.40%K +1.45%G +0.612% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.74%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-07 10:46 |
| Winamax (FR) | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +37.40%E +1.29%K +1.34%G +0.500% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-07 10:50 |
| BetMGM | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +37.40%E +1.29%K +1.34%G +0.500% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-07 10:49 |
| Bovada | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +37.40%E +1.29%K +1.34%G +0.500% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-07 10:49 |
| theScore Bet | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +23.19%E +0.892%K +0.927%G +0.215% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-07 10:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +18.45%E +0.738%K +0.769%G +0.142% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Pinnacle | 23.06I 4.34%NM 4.32%EV +9.26%E +0.401%K +0.420%G +0.039% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.68%EV -0.927%E -0.892%K -23.19%G +0.000% | 0.5% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +8.97%E +0.390%K +0.408%G +0.037% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-07 10:50 |
| BoyleSports | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV -0.503%E -0.024%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -2.83%E -2.78%K -141.64%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| 888sport | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -0.503%E -0.024%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 10:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -0.503%E -0.024%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 10:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV -0.503%E -0.024%K -0.025%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV -14.72%E -0.818%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -2.83%E -2.78%K -141.64%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-07 10:44 |
| Coolbet | 17.25I 5.80%NM 5.53%EV -18.27%E -1.06%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.47%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 10:50 |
| Betway | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -19.45%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Fanatics | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV -19.45%E -1.14%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.44%EV -4.74%E -4.74%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 10:50 |
| Betsson | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.93%E -1.93%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 10:50 |
| NordicBet | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -28.93%E -1.93%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -33.67%E -2.40%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -2.83%E -2.78%K -141.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 10:44 |
| Unibet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -33.67%E -2.40%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -2.83%E -2.78%K -141.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -33.67%E -2.40%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -2.83%E -2.78%K -141.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 10:44 |
| Caesars | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -38.41%E -2.95%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 10:47 |
| Virgin Bet | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -38.41%E -2.95%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 10:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -40.78%E -3.26%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 10:44 |
| Bet Victor | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -43.14%E -3.60%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 10:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -47.88%E -4.35%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -2.83%E -2.78%K -141.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 10:43 |
| LeoVegas | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -50.25%E -4.79%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -2.83%E -2.78%K -141.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 10:43 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -52.62%E -5.26%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -3.79%E -3.75%K -378.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-07 10:44 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 48.00I 2.08%NM 2.08% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.92% | 0.1% | 2026-04-07 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63% | 0.4% | 2026-04-07 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 1.0% | 2026-04-07 10:50 |
| Smarkets | 50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02% | 1.0% | 2026-04-07 10:50 |
| Matchbook | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.59% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.41% | 1.6% | 2026-04-07 10:50 |
| ProphetX | 33.00I 3.03%NM 2.97% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.03% | 2.0% | 2026-04-07 10:50 |
| Novig | 30.30I 3.30%NM 3.19% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.81% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 10:50 |