Language:English
Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Grigor Dimitrov
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)
Prediction 60.65%1.65fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -3.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.13%60.78%60.65%62.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.561.561.6166.67%64.28%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grigor Dimitrov (Visit)
Prediction 39.35%2.54fair odd
EV +1.92%
Edge +0.741%
Kelly +1.21%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 2.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.47%39.22%39.35%40.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.412.402.5943.48%41.44%41.67%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local): 60.65%; Grigor Dimitrov (Visit): 39.35%. For Grigor Dimitrov (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.59, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV +1.92%E +0.741%K +1.21%G +0.023% | 2.7% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV +1.13%E +0.440%K +0.721%G +0.008% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 08:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.62%E -0.649%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 08:37 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.99%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.62%E -0.649%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 08:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.62%E -0.649%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.62%E -0.649%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.62%E -0.649%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.62%E -0.649%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -1.62%E -0.649%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.62%E -0.649%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -2.02%E -0.810%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.99%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -2.41%E -0.972%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 07:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.96%E -1.85%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -2.80%E -1.13%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -3.59%E -1.47%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-07 07:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.57%E -2.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -3.57%E -2.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -3.98%E -1.63%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -4.77%E -1.97%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -5.16%E -2.14%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 22:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.57%E -2.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 07:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 08:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 08:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.39%E -3.45%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 07:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.99%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 07:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-07 07:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.81%E -5.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 08:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.03%E -6.02%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.56%E -2.32%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 08:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.95%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.95%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 07:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.20%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.80%EV -5.95%E -2.49%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 08:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -6.34%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 07:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.34%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-07 07:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -5.99%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.34%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.56%EV -5.99%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -6.34%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 08:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.34%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 08:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.74%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 07:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.21%E -4.71%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -6.74%E -2.84%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 07:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.36%E -1.46%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 22:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.17%E -2.64%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.78%E -3.05%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-07 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.99%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 07:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.99%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-07 07:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.60%E -4.29%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.81%E -5.14%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.53%E -3.20%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 22:07 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -5.99%E -3.87%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -8.71%E -3.75%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.57%E -2.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.49%E -4.13%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 22:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 0.5% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12% | 1.3% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 2.4% | 2026-04-07 08:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54% | 3.7% | 2026-04-07 08:50 |