The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Romain Arneodo v Francisco Comesana

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Romain Arneodo (Local)

Prediction 6.59%15.17fair odd
EV +18.65%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.205%

assuming max odds 18.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.36%6.88%6.43%9.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5014.2014.5818.0010.53%7.04%6.86%5.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Francisco Comesana (Visit)

Prediction 93.41%1.07fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.83%
Kelly -38.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.13%93.12%93.57%94.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.031.031.0599.01%97.32%97.09%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Romain Arneodo (Local): 6.59%; Francisco Comesana (Visit): 93.41%. For Romain Arneodo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 18.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.65%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +18.65%E +1.04%K +1.10%G +0.205%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -236.16%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -1.13%E -0.075%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.79%E -3.68%K -126.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 11:19
Coral🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -1.13%E -0.075%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.79%E -3.68%K -126.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 11:19
BoyleSports🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -1.13%E -0.075%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.79%E -3.68%K -126.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 11:14
Betway🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -1.13%E -0.075%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -236.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 11:20
theScore Bet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -1.13%E -0.075%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.66%E -5.60%K -565.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 11:19
LowVig.ag🎯14.16I 7.06%NM 6.78%EV -6.66%E -0.471%K -0.506%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.22%EV -3.79%E -3.68%K -126.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 11:14
BetOnline.ag🎯14.16I 7.06%NM 6.78%EV -6.66%E -0.471%K -0.506%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.22%EV -3.79%E -3.68%K -126.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 11:14
Pinnacle🎯13.79I 7.25%NM 7.08%EV -9.10%E -0.660%K -0.712%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.92%EV -1.92%E -1.83%K -38.42%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-04 11:14
PlayUp🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -14.31%E -1.10%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -236.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 11:14
GTbets🎯12.82I 7.80%NM 7.37%EV -15.50%E -1.21%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.63%EV -4.72%E -4.63%K -236.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-04 11:11
Bet Victor🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -37.38%E -3.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -2.86%E -2.75%K -71.38%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 11:18
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎22.99I 4.35%NM 4.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 95.67%0.5%2026-04-04 11:19
Novig◎13.33I 7.50%NM 6.98%1.00I 100.00%NM 93.02%7.5%2026-04-04 11:20