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Pedro Martinez v Aleksandar Vukic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pedro Martinez (Local)
assuming max odds 1.44
Aleksandar Vukic (Visit)
assuming max odds 3.27
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pedro Martinez (Local): 69.37%; Aleksandar Vukic (Visit): 30.63%. For Aleksandar Vukic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.170%.
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.63%EV -5.66%E -4.16%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.37%EV +0.170%E +0.052%K +0.075%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 09:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.74%E -5.82%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -0.443%E -0.136%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 09:12 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.35%E -4.71%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -1.97%E -0.617%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 09:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.74%E -5.82%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.97%E -0.617%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 09:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.27%E -3.10%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.51%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 09:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.27%E -3.10%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -3.51%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 09:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.05%E -5.26%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -3.51%E -1.11%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 09:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.74%E -5.82%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 08:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.74%E -5.82%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.10%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 08:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -2.89%E -2.06%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -12.70%E -4.45%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -0.111%E -0.077%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -17.29%E -6.40%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 09:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -0.111%E -0.077%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -17.29%E -6.40%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 09:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -0.111%E -0.077%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -19.74%E -7.54%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 09:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 1.8% | 2026-04-04 09:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33% | 2.7% | 2026-04-04 09:15 |