The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Juan Manuel Cerundolo v Pedro Martinez

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local)

Prediction 58.66%1.70fair odd
EV +0.311%
Edge +0.182%
Kelly +0.438%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.41%58.45%58.66%61.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.611.611.7167.57%62.08%62.11%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pedro Martinez (Visit)

Prediction 41.34%2.42fair odd
EV +2.52%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.70%
Growth +0.043%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.77%41.55%41.34%44.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.262.242.4848.78%44.25%44.64%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juan Manuel Cerundolo (Local): 58.66%; Pedro Martinez (Visit): 41.34%. For Pedro Martinez (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV +2.52%E +1.02%K +1.70%G +0.043%4.0%2026-04-05 09:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.28%E +0.522%K +0.882%G +0.011%2.9%2026-04-05 09:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV +0.866%E +0.355%K +0.601%G +0.005%3.5%2026-04-05 09:10
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -8.49%E -5.44%K -15.16%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV +0.039%E +0.016%K +0.028%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 09:10
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -0.788%E -0.328%K -0.563%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 09:00
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -10.25%E -6.70%K -19.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -1.61%E -0.678%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 09:10
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -10.25%E -6.70%K -19.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -2.03%E -0.856%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 09:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -10.25%E -6.70%K -19.34%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -2.03%E -0.856%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 09:09
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -10.25%E -6.70%K -19.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -2.85%E -1.21%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 08:59
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.90%E -5.03%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -4.92%E -2.14%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 09:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.53%EV -13.18%E -8.91%K -27.46%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.47%EV -6.16%E -2.71%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 09:06
ReBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -2.62%E -1.58%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -7.40%E -3.30%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 08:59
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.38%E -2.69%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -7.82%E -3.50%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 09:00
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.14%E -3.84%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.06%E -4.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 08:58
GTbets🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -1.45%E -0.862%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -9.47%E -4.32%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 09:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -0.275%E -0.162%K -0.394%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -10.30%E -4.74%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 09:09
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV +0.311%E +0.182%K +0.438%G +0.001%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -11.12%E -5.17%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 09:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -0.862%E -0.510%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -11.12%E -5.17%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 08:59
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -0.275%E -0.162%K -0.394%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -12.36%E -5.83%K -11.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 09:09
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -0.862%E -0.510%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -11.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 09:09
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -5.56%E -3.45%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -13.19%E -6.28%K -11.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-05 09:10
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -3.21%E -1.94%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -15.26%E -7.44%K -14.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 09:09
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -3.21%E -1.94%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -15.26%E -7.44%K -14.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 09:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-04-05 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-04-05 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-04-05 09:10
Novig◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.77%2.51I 39.84%NM 39.23%1.6%2026-04-05 09:10
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%2.4%2026-04-05 09:10