The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Jan-Lennard Struff v Nikoloz Basilashvili

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 11:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jan-Lennard Struff (Local)

Prediction 59.34%1.69fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -5.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%59.35%59.43%60.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.591.601.6364.52%62.74%62.50%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visit)

Prediction 40.66%2.46fair odd
EV -0.779%
Edge -0.319%
Kelly -0.541%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.15%40.65%40.57%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.332.302.4444.44%43.00%43.48%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jan-Lennard Struff (Local): 59.34%; Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visit): 40.66%. For Nikoloz Basilashvili (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.44, with an expected value of -0.779%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.28%E -2.01%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 10:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.28%E -2.01%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-04 10:34
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 09:50
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 09:45
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 09:49
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 09:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 06:40
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 06:40
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -0.779%E -0.319%K -0.541%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 01:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 09:44
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 09:49
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.50%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 07:43
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 09:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%2.6%2026-04-04 10:39