La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Marin Cilic
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Casa)
Previsione 63.88%1.57quota equa
EV +0.293%
Vantaggio +0.187%
Kelly +0.514%
Crescita +0.002%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.90%63.89%63.85%67.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.461.461.5772.46%68.30%68.73%63.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Marin Cilic (Trasferta)
Previsione 36.12%2.77quota equa
EV +6.19%
Vantaggio +2.11%
Kelly +3.19%
Crescita +0.198%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.94
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.72%36.11%36.15%41.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.632.632.9444.44%38.01%38.10%34.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.97%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%EV +6.19%E +2.11%K +3.19%G +0.198% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 13:29 |
| 1xBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.28%EV -9.29%E -6.54%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.72%EV +5.47%E +1.87%K +2.85%G +0.156% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 13:20 |
| FanDuel | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -9.29%E -6.54%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +4.75%E +1.64%K +2.50%G +0.119% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 13:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -9.29%E -6.54%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +4.75%E +1.64%K +2.50%G +0.119% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 13:39 |
| ReBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV +2.94%E +1.03%K +1.59%G +0.047% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 13:20 |
| Bovada | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +1.13%E +0.405%K +0.630%G +0.007% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 13:37 |
| Bally Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -8.65%E -6.05%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +1.13%E +0.405%K +0.630%G +0.007% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 13:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 13:31 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 13:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -9.29%E -6.54%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 13:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.57%E -7.55%K -26.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -0.673%E -0.245%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-08 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.82%E -3.23%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.76%E -0.646%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 13:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -4.82%E -3.23%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -1.76%E -0.646%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-08 13:25 |
| Unibet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.73%E -4.61%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -2.48%E -0.918%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 13:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.48%E -0.918%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 13:32 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.48%E -0.918%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -8.65%E -6.05%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -2.48%E -0.918%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 13:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.76%EV -11.21%E -8.06%K -28.73%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.24%EV -3.56%E -1.33%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-08 13:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.46%E -3.69%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.28%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Caesars | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.28%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 13:35 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.28%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.28%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 13:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.28%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.28%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.82%E -3.23%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.82%E -3.23%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Casumo | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.82%E -3.23%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.82%E -3.23%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| betPARX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -4.82%E -3.23%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -5.01%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.37%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 13:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.37%E -2.05%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.81%EV -5.46%E -3.69%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.19%EV -5.73%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.18%E -2.79%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.18%E -2.79%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.46%E -3.69%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.46%E -3.69%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 13:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.09%E -4.15%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| TAB | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -6.73%E -4.61%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 13:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.01%E -5.56%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.29%E -6.54%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.09%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -0.984%E -0.635%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -7.17%E -2.79%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Betsson | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.18%E -2.79%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.18%E -2.79%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.46%E -3.69%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.46%E -3.69%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Fliff | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -8.65%E -6.05%K -20.12%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -11.84%E -8.58%K -31.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -7.90%E -3.10%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.18%E -2.79%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.18%E -2.79%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.18%E -2.79%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -7.37%E -5.08%K -16.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.70%E -3.88%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -6.73%E -4.61%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -11.51%E -4.70%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.26%E -1.48%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -13.31%E -5.55%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.18%E -2.79%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -13.31%E -5.55%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -2.26%E -1.48%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -14.40%E -6.08%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV +0.293%E +0.187%K +0.514%G +0.002% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -18.73%E -8.33%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 0.1% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 0.6% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 0.9% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Novig | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88% | 1.6% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27% | 8.0% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |