The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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David Goffin v Emilio Nava

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

David Goffin (Local)

Prediction 34.95%2.86fair odd
EV +6.60%
Edge +2.17%
Kelly +3.22%
Growth +0.213%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.46%34.99%35.21%39.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.672.653.0542.55%37.46%37.74%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Emilio Nava (Visit)

Prediction 65.05%1.54fair odd
EV +1.47%
Edge +0.945%
Kelly +2.63%
Growth +0.039%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.57%65.01%64.79%68.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.461.441.5674.07%68.71%69.44%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: David Goffin (Local): 34.95%; Emilio Nava (Visit): 65.05%. For David Goffin (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +6.60%E +2.17%K +3.22%G +0.213%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -8.93%E -6.38%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 09:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +0.662%E +0.230%K +0.352%G +0.002%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.63%E -5.37%K -18.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 09:09
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -0.386%E -0.135%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -6.33%E -4.40%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-05 09:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -0.386%E -0.135%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.93%E -6.38%K -22.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 09:09
theScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -0.386%E -0.135%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.93%E -6.38%K -22.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 09:09
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -0.386%E -0.135%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -10.23%E -7.42%K -26.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 09:10
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.14%EV -0.386%E -0.135%K -0.209%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.86%EV -12.19%E -9.03%K -34.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-05 09:10
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.13%E -0.762%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.93%E -6.38%K -22.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 09:08
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.88%E -1.41%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.93%E -6.38%K -22.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 09:10
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.63%E -2.08%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.33%E -4.40%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 09:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.63%E -2.08%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.33%E -4.40%K -14.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 09:09
ReBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -7.38%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.73%E -2.52%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 08:59
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.38%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -6.33%E -4.40%K -14.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 09:10
Fliff🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -7.38%E -2.78%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -8.28%E -5.87%K -20.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 09:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -9.12%E -3.51%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.38%E -2.98%K -9.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 08:59
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.12%E -3.51%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.33%E -4.40%K -14.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 09:10
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.12%E -3.51%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.63%E -5.37%K -18.17%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 09:09
GTbets🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -10.17%E -3.96%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV +1.47%E +0.945%K +2.63%G +0.039%3.0%2026-04-05 08:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -10.17%E -3.96%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV +0.824%E +0.532%K +1.50%G +0.012%3.4%2026-04-05 08:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -10.17%E -3.96%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV +0.824%E +0.532%K +1.50%G +0.012%3.4%2026-04-05 08:59
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -10.52%E -4.11%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV +0.174%E +0.113%K +0.321%G +0.001%4.0%2026-04-05 09:00
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -12.62%E -5.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -0.477%E -0.312%K -0.900%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 09:00
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -12.62%E -5.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.13%E -0.742%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 09:00
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.62%E -5.05%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.43%E -1.62%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 09:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -16.11%E -6.71%K -11.51%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -6.98%E -4.88%K -16.24%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-05 08:59
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -17.86%E -7.60%K -13.23%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -0.477%E -0.312%K -0.900%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 08:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-04-05 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-04-05 09:10
Novig◎2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%4.8%2026-04-05 09:10
Smarkets◎2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%5.1%2026-04-05 09:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 33.18%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.82%5.4%2026-04-05 09:10