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Cristian Garin v Jesper De Jong
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cristian Garin (Local)
assuming max odds 2.30
Jesper De Jong (Visit)
assuming max odds 1.81
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cristian Garin (Local): 45.19%; Jesper De Jong (Visit): 54.81%. For Cristian Garin (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV +3.93%E +1.71%K +3.03%G +0.119% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -11.75%E -7.30%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 11:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +1.67%E +0.744%K +1.34%G +0.022% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -10.66%E -6.54%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.585%E -0.266%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.75%E -7.30%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -0.585%E -0.266%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -11.75%E -7.30%K -19.27%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -1.04%E -0.474%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -5.72%E -3.33%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 11:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.18%E -2.99%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 11:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.10%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.08%E -2.33%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.10%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.46%E -5.07%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -7.82%E -3.83%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -0.791%E -0.437%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 11:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -7.82%E -3.83%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -0.791%E -0.437%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.62%E -4.81%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.44%E -1.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 11:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -11.88%E -6.09%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -1.34%E -0.744%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 11:18 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -13.69%E -7.17%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -1.34%E -0.744%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 0.8% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| Novig◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |