Language:English
Corentin Moutet v Casper Ruud
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Corentin Moutet (Local)
Prediction 28.77%3.48fair odd
EV +11.06%
Edge +2.86%
Kelly +3.87%
Growth +0.427%
assuming max odds 3.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.61%28.76%28.73%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.233.233.8634.48%30.93%31.01%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Casper Ruud (Visit)
Prediction 71.23%1.40fair odd
EV -0.279%
Edge -0.200%
Kelly -0.698%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%71.24%71.27%75.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.331.331.4079.37%75.31%75.19%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Corentin Moutet (Local): 28.77%; Casper Ruud (Visit): 71.23%. For Corentin Moutet (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.06%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV +11.06%E +2.86%K +3.87%G +0.427% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -10.25%E -8.14%K -39.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.698%E +0.200%K +0.279%G +0.002% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.40%E -5.69%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +0.698%E +0.200%K +0.279%G +0.002% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -8.11%E -6.29%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +0.698%E +0.200%K +0.279%G +0.002% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.83%E -6.90%K -31.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.18%E -0.641%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.98%E -4.53%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.18%E -0.641%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.98%E -4.53%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.18%E -0.641%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.98%E -4.53%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.62%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.62%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.98%E -4.53%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.62%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.98%E -4.53%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%EV -3.91%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.37%EV -4.55%E -3.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 13:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%EV -4.19%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%EV -2.42%E -1.76%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 13:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -3.84%E -2.85%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 13:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.69%E -5.11%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.69%E -5.11%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.40%E -5.69%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.40%E -5.69%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.40%E -5.69%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -5.06%E -1.53%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.40%E -5.69%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.40%E -5.69%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.11%E -6.29%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -8.11%E -6.29%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -6.49%E -2.00%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -8.83%E -6.90%K -31.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.13%E -2.30%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 13:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.13%E -2.30%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 13:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.13%E -2.30%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 13:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.84%E -2.85%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 13:36 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.84%E -2.85%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 13:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.98%E -4.53%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.98%E -4.53%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.40%E -5.69%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.93%E -2.48%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -8.11%E -6.29%K -27.98%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -8.22%E -2.58%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -3.13%E -2.30%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 13:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -9.08%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -3.13%E -2.30%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 13:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -9.37%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.13%E -2.30%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 13:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -9.37%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.84%E -2.85%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.37%E -2.98%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -7.40%E -5.69%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.13%E -2.30%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 13:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.55%E -3.40%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 13:33 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 13:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 13:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 13:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-08 13:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.06%EV -10.81%E -3.49%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.94%EV -9.54%E -7.51%K -35.33%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -12.25%E -4.02%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.13%E -2.30%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 13:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -12.25%E -4.02%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -7.40%E -5.69%K -24.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-08 13:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -12.82%E -4.23%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -0.279%E -0.200%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -12.82%E -4.23%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -0.279%E -0.200%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-08 13:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -13.69%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.27%E -3.96%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 13:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -16.56%E -5.71%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.279%E -0.200%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 13:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -16.56%E -5.71%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -1.70%E -1.23%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-08 13:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 2.4% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |
| Novig◎ | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.67% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.33% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 13:40 |