Language:English
Corentin Moutet v Alexandre Muller
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Corentin Moutet (Local)
Prediction 72.11%1.39fair odd
EV +13.21%
Edge +8.41%
Kelly +23.17%
Growth +3.06%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%71.09%72.04%75.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.361.311.5781.97%73.34%76.34%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexandre Muller (Visit)
Prediction 27.89%3.59fair odd
EV +7.66%
Edge +1.99%
Kelly +2.68%
Growth +0.205%
assuming max odds 3.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.55%28.91%27.96%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.373.123.253.8642.19%32.01%30.77%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Corentin Moutet (Local): 72.11%; Alexandre Muller (Visit): 27.89%. For Corentin Moutet (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.39. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV +13.21%E +8.41%K +23.17%G +3.06% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -33.62%E -14.12%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 09:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV +11.05%E +7.17%K +20.45%G +2.26% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -26.92%E -10.28%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-07 13:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV +11.05%E +7.17%K +20.45%G +2.26% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -29.99%E -11.95%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 12:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV +11.05%E +7.17%K +20.45%G +2.26% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -29.99%E -11.95%K -19.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 21:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV +11.05%E +7.17%K +20.45%G +2.26% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -30.27%E -12.11%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 12:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV +11.05%E +7.17%K +20.45%G +2.26% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -30.55%E -12.27%K -20.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV +10.32%E +6.75%K +19.48%G +2.01% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -26.92%E -10.28%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-07 13:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV +10.32%E +6.75%K +19.48%G +2.01% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -26.92%E -10.28%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-07 13:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +10.32%E +6.75%K +19.48%G +2.01% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -30.27%E -12.11%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-07 13:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +9.60%E +6.32%K +18.47%G +1.77% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -30.27%E -12.11%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 13:06 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +9.60%E +6.32%K +18.47%G +1.77% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -30.27%E -12.11%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 13:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV +8.16%E +5.44%K +16.32%G +1.33% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -28.87%E -11.32%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV +8.16%E +5.44%K +16.32%G +1.33% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -31.66%E -12.92%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 07:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV +8.16%E +5.44%K +16.32%G +1.33% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -31.66%E -12.92%K -21.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 07:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV +7.44%E +4.99%K +15.18%G +1.13% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -26.36%E -9.99%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 11:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV +4.56%E +3.14%K +10.12%G +0.461% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -23.30%E -8.47%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 13:12 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV +4.56%E +3.14%K +10.12%G +0.461% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -28.87%E -11.32%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-07 11:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.04%EV +4.56%E +3.14%K +10.12%G +0.461% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.96%EV -33.89%E -14.30%K -24.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-07 13:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.93%E -1.42%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 13:12 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.65%E -1.97%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.65%E -1.97%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.65%E -1.97%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -3.38%E -2.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -12.14%E -3.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.82%E -3.65%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.82%E -3.65%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.82%E -3.65%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -4.82%E -3.65%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -13.53%E -4.37%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.54%E -4.23%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.54%E -4.23%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.54%E -4.23%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-07 13:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%EV -5.54%E -4.23%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV -12.14%E -3.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -6.26%E -4.82%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +0.413%E +0.115%K +0.159%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -6.26%E -4.82%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -0.982%E -0.277%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.26%E -4.82%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.38%E -0.679%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.26%E -4.82%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.38%E -0.679%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.26%E -4.82%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.38%E -0.679%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.26%E -4.82%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.38%E -0.679%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.26%E -4.82%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.38%E -0.679%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.26%E -4.82%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.26%E -4.82%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.26%E -4.82%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 13:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.26%E -4.82%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.26%E -4.82%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.26%E -4.82%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.35%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +0.413%E +0.115%K +0.159%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.56%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -9.35%E -2.88%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.27%EV -6.98%E -5.41%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-07 13:13 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.70%E -6.02%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.70%E -6.02%K -27.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.17%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -8.42%E -6.63%K -31.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.38%E -0.679%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -9.14%E -7.26%K -35.17%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.61%EV +7.66%E +1.99%K +2.68%G +0.205% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%EV -9.14%E -7.26%K -35.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -3.77%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.49%EV -9.14%E -7.26%K -35.17%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.51%EV -7.40%E -2.23%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.43%EV -9.14%E -7.26%K -35.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -12.14%E -3.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.87%E -7.89%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +4.60%E +1.23%K +1.67%G +0.077% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 13:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.87%E -7.89%K -39.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +4.60%E +1.23%K +1.67%G +0.077% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -12.03%E -9.86%K -54.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +4.60%E +1.23%K +1.67%G +0.077% | 8.6% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 0.4% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07% | 2.2% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.39% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.61% | 6.5% | 2026-04-07 13:15 |