The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Alexander Shevchenko v Roberto Bautista Agut

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 11:38 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Shevchenko (Local)

Prediction 57.34%1.74fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.803%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.41%57.18%57.59%59.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.641.651.7264.52%60.95%60.61%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Roberto Bautista Agut (Visit)

Prediction 42.66%2.34fair odd
EV -0.595%
Edge -0.255%
Kelly -0.447%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.26%42.82%42.41%44.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.192.202.3348.78%45.61%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Shevchenko (Local): 57.34%; Roberto Bautista Agut (Visit): 42.66%. For Roberto Bautista Agut (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.33, with an expected value of -0.595%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.38%E -0.803%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -8.70%E -4.07%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:35
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.95%E -1.14%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 11:34
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.10%E -1.83%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -6.57%E -3.00%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 11:24
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -4.25%E -2.54%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -2.73%E -1.20%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 11:35
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.25%E -2.54%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:33
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.25%E -2.54%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 11:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -0.595%E -0.255%K -0.447%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -0.595%E -0.255%K -0.447%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 11:30
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.58%E -1.58%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 11:28
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 11:34
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-05 11:32
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 11:34
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -12.54%E -6.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 11:35
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -5.39%E -3.27%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -12.54%E -6.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-05 11:35
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -5.97%E -3.64%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.99%E -3.21%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.54%E -4.01%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 11:29
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:35
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:23
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:30
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.11%E -4.39%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 11:30
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.69%E -4.77%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -1.87%E -0.815%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 11:35
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.69%E -4.77%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 11:34
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -11.13%E -7.18%K -20.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -1.87%E -0.815%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 11:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -11.13%E -7.18%K -20.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 11:27
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-04-05 11:35
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-04-05 11:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-04-05 11:35
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%3.7%2026-04-05 11:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 37.73%1.03I 97.09%NM 62.27%55.9%2026-04-05 11:35