The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Alexander Shevchenko v Andrea Pellegrino

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Shevchenko (Local)

Prediction 55.47%1.80fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.23%55.44%55.27%57.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.691.691.7761.73%59.04%59.00%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Andrea Pellegrino (Visit)

Prediction 44.53%2.25fair odd
EV -0.254%
Edge -0.113%
Kelly -0.205%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.56%44.56%44.73%45.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.122.102.2448.78%47.13%47.51%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Shevchenko (Local): 55.47%; Andrea Pellegrino (Visit): 44.53%. For Andrea Pellegrino (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.24, with an expected value of -0.254%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -1.82%E -1.03%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -6.04%E -2.86%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.48%E -2.00%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.26%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 12:00
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.04%E -2.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 12:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.04%E -2.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 12:00
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.04%E -2.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 12:00
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.04%E -2.33%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.71%E -4.25%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 12:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.15%E -3.01%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.04%E -0.925%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 12:50
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.70%E -3.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 12:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.25%E -3.70%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.26%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 12:44
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.81%E -4.05%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.26%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 12:54
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -7.92%E -4.77%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -0.254%E -0.113%K -0.205%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-04 12:14
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -7.92%E -4.77%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -4.26%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 12:49
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.47%E -5.14%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.26%E -1.98%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 12:54
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.47%E -5.14%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 12:50
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.47%E -5.14%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 12:54
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -10.14%E -6.26%K -16.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -6.49%E -3.09%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 12:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%2.6%2026-04-04 12:55
Novig◎1.72I 58.14%NM 56.23%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.77%3.4%2026-04-04 12:54