L’École des cotes

Zizou Bergs v Jenson Brooksby

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Prévision 95.63%1.05cote équitable
EV +0.415%
Avantage +0.395%
Kelly +8.29%
Croissance +0.034%

avec la cote maximale 1.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
89.14%95.20%96.05%99.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.021.011.05100.00%98.35%99.01%95.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jenson Brooksby (Visiteur)

Prévision 4.37%22.90cote équitable
EV +450.24%
Avantage +3.57%
Kelly +3.60%
Croissance +16.22%

avec la cote maximale 126.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
0.79%4.80%3.95%10.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.4524.9915.00126.0011.83%4.00%6.67%0.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Ladbrokes (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 99.21%EV -4.37%E -4.37%K +0.000%G +0.000%126.00I 0.79%NM 0.79%EV +450.24%E +3.57%K +3.60%G +16.22%0.8%2026-03-19 16:38
Paddy Power1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -4.37%E -4.37%K +0.000%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +192.59%E +2.87%K +2.92%G +5.62%1.5%2026-03-19 16:38
Coral1.00I 100.00%NM 98.53%EV -4.37%E -4.37%K +0.000%G +0.000%67.00I 1.49%NM 1.47%EV +192.59%E +2.87%K +2.92%G +5.62%1.5%2026-03-19 16:39
DraftKings1.00I 100.00%NM 98.46%EV -4.37%E -4.37%K +0.000%G +0.000%64.00I 1.56%NM 1.54%EV +179.49%E +2.80%K +2.85%G +5.11%1.6%2026-03-19 16:36
Pinnacle1.01I 99.01%NM 98.43%EV -3.41%E -3.38%K -341.06%G +0.000%63.15I 1.58%NM 1.57%EV +175.77%E +2.78%K +2.83%G +4.97%0.6%2026-03-19 16:40
FanDuel1.01I 99.01%NM 97.60%EV -3.41%E -3.38%K -341.06%G +0.000%41.00I 2.44%NM 2.40%EV +79.05%E +1.93%K +1.98%G +1.56%1.4%2026-03-19 16:37
BoyleSports1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -4.37%E -4.37%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +48.48%E +1.43%K +1.47%G +0.712%2.9%2026-03-19 16:36
theScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -3.41%E -3.38%K -341.06%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +13.54%E +0.521%K +0.542%G +0.073%2.9%2026-03-19 16:36
888sport1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.37%E -4.37%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +13.54%E +0.521%K +0.542%G +0.073%3.8%2026-03-19 16:37
Bovada1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.37%E -4.37%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +13.54%E +0.521%K +0.542%G +0.073%3.8%2026-03-19 16:36
Fanatics1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.37%E -4.37%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +13.54%E +0.521%K +0.542%G +0.073%3.8%2026-03-19 16:38
Mr Green (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.37%E -4.37%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +13.54%E +0.521%K +0.542%G +0.073%3.8%2026-03-19 16:37
888sport (SE)1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -4.37%E -4.37%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +13.54%E +0.521%K +0.542%G +0.073%3.8%2026-03-19 16:37
Unibet (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -3.41%E -3.38%K -341.06%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +0.440%E +0.019%K +0.020%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 16:36
Betway1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -4.37%E -4.37%K +0.000%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +0.440%E +0.019%K +0.020%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 16:36
Casumo1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -2.45%E -2.41%K -122.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -34.50%E -2.30%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 16:30
Hard Rock Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -2.45%E -2.41%K -122.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -34.50%E -2.30%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 16:30
Svenska Spel1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -2.45%E -2.41%K -122.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -34.50%E -2.30%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 16:29
betPARX1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -2.45%E -2.41%K -122.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -34.50%E -2.30%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 16:29
Betsson1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.41%E -3.38%K -341.06%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -34.50%E -2.30%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 16:34
NordicBet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -3.41%E -3.38%K -341.06%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -34.50%E -2.30%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 16:36
Bet Victor1.00I 100.00%NM 93.75%EV -4.37%E -4.37%K +0.000%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.25%EV -34.50%E -2.30%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 16:37
PointsBet (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -1.50%E -1.45%K -49.93%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -43.23%E -3.33%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 16:30
Unibet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -1.50%E -1.45%K -49.93%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -47.60%E -3.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -1.50%E -1.45%K -49.93%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -47.60%E -3.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:30
ATG (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -1.50%E -1.45%K -49.93%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -47.60%E -3.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:30
TAB1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -3.41%E -3.38%K -341.06%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -47.60%E -3.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 16:30
BetRivers1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -1.50%E -1.45%K -49.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -54.15%E -5.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 16:30
TABtouch1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -1.50%E -1.45%K -49.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -54.15%E -5.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 16:30
Grosvenor1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -2.45%E -2.41%K -122.72%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -54.15%E -5.16%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV +0.415%E +0.395%K +8.29%G +0.034%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -56.33%E -5.63%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 16:32
Caesars1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV +0.415%E +0.395%K +8.29%G +0.034%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -60.70%E -6.74%K -7.59%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 16:32
LiveScore Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -0.542%E -0.521%K -13.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -60.70%E -6.74%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 16:32
Virgin Bet1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -0.542%E -0.521%K -13.54%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -60.70%E -6.74%K -7.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 16:32
LeoVegas1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -1.50%E -1.45%K -49.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -60.70%E -6.74%K -7.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 16:32
LeoVegas (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -1.50%E -1.45%K -49.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -62.88%E -7.40%K -8.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 16:32
Fliff1.03I 97.09%NM 89.14%EV -1.50%E -1.45%K -49.93%G +0.000%8.45I 11.83%NM 10.86%EV -63.10%E -7.47%K -8.47%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-19 16:32
Unibet (FR)⚠ invraisemblable2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV +131.43%E +54.31%K +92.56%G +121.65%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -93.14%E -59.33%K -163.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 15:17
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 98.02%50.00I 2.00%NM 1.98%1.0%2026-03-19 16:38
ProphetX1.05I 95.24%NM 94.02%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.98%1.3%2026-03-19 16:29
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28%1.7%2026-03-19 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%2.0%2026-03-19 16:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%2.0%2026-03-19 16:39
Smarkets1.01I 99.01%NM 96.40%27.03I 3.70%NM 3.60%2.7%2026-03-19 16:36
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 95.06%19.23I 5.20%NM 4.94%5.2%2026-03-19 16:39