La scuola delle quote

Yannick Hanfmann v Luca Van Assche

Inizio: 2026-03-17 16:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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27 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Yannick Hanfmann (Casa)

Previsione 54.13%1.85quota equa
EV -2.02%
Vantaggio -1.12%
Kelly -2.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.81

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.62%54.32%54.52%57.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.711.711.8161.73%58.37%58.48%55.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Luca Van Assche (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.87%2.18quota equa
EV +4.58%
Vantaggio +2.01%
Kelly +3.58%
Crescita +0.164%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.41%45.68%45.48%47.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.072.052.2851.28%48.21%48.78%43.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -9.06%E -5.39%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV +4.58%E +2.01%K +3.58%G +0.164%3.4%2026-03-17 15:10
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -9.06%E -5.39%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV +4.58%E +2.01%K +3.58%G +0.164%3.4%2026-03-17 15:10
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.60%E -5.75%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.914%E +0.416%K +0.762%G +0.007%5.3%2026-03-17 15:10
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -10.69%E -6.48%K -16.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV +0.914%E +0.416%K +0.762%G +0.007%6.1%2026-03-17 15:10
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -12.31%E -7.60%K -19.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.914%E +0.416%K +0.762%G +0.007%7.2%2026-03-17 15:10
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.44%E -4.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.38%E -0.642%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 14:59
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -12.31%E -7.60%K -19.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -1.38%E -0.642%K -1.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 15:10
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -4.73%E -2.69%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -3.21%E -1.52%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 15:00
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.36%E -3.67%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.67%E -1.75%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 15:00
ReBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV -4.13%E -1.98%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 14:59
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.73%E -2.69%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.51%E -2.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 15:00
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.36%E -3.67%K -8.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 14:59
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.90%E -4.01%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 15:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.44%E -4.35%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 15:00
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.98%E -4.69%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 14:59
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.98%E -4.69%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.98%E -4.69%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.97%E -2.91%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 15:10
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -9.06%E -5.39%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.28%EV -6.88%E -3.39%K -6.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 14:59
Unibet (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -2.02%E -1.12%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -7.80%E -3.88%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 15:10
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.57%E -1.43%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 15:10
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 15:00
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.19%E -2.37%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 15:10
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.98%E -4.69%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.26%E -4.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 14:56
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -10.69%E -6.48%K -16.44%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 45.33%EV -8.72%E -4.38%K -8.81%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-17 15:00
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.55%E -5.41%K -11.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 15:09
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.27%E -3.01%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.55%E -5.41%K -11.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 15:09
Fliff1.69I 59.17%NM 53.57%EV -8.52%E -5.04%K -12.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.43%EV -10.55%E -5.41%K -11.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-17 15:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-17 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-17 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-03-17 15:10
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%2.1%2026-03-17 15:10
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%4.8%2026-03-17 15:10