Szkoła Kursów

Ugo Humbert v Francisco Cerundolo

Początek: 2026-03-25 00:20 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Ugo Humbert (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 51.88%1.93kurs godziwy
EV -0.907%
Przewaga -0.475%
Kelly -0.997%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.91

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
50.00%51.93%51.86%54.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.751.841.851.9157.14%54.29%54.05%52.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Francisco Cerundolo (Goście)

Prognoza 48.12%2.08kurs godziwy
EV +0.569%
Przewaga +0.272%
Kelly +0.522%
Wzrost +0.003%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.09

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
45.57%48.07%48.14%50.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.901.961.962.0952.63%50.96%51.02%47.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -9.21%E -5.26%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV +0.569%E +0.272%K +0.522%G +0.003%5.0%2026-03-24 23:11
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.36%E -0.661%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 23:53
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.95%E -1.03%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.80%E -1.39%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-25 00:00
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.58%E -3.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.80%E -1.39%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-24 23:11
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.58%E -3.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.80%E -1.39%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-24 23:10
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -2.98%E -1.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -3.28%E -1.63%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-24 23:45
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.50%E -1.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 23:11
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 23:11
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 23:11
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 23:39
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 23:11
Betsson1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.54%E -2.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.72%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 23:11
NordicBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.54%E -2.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.72%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 23:10
ReBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.54%E -2.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.72%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 23:11
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.72%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.44%EV -3.50%E -1.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.56%EV -5.21%E -2.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-24 23:11
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.44%EV -3.50%E -1.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.56%EV -5.21%E -2.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-24 23:11
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.21%E -2.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 23:55
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.21%E -2.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 23:54
GTbets1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.54%E -2.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.21%E -2.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 00:05
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.21%E -2.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 23:40
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:10
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.58%E -3.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 23:10
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.98%E -1.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 23:11
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.98%E -1.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 23:08
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 23:11
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.58%E -3.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 23:11
NetBet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -6.10%E -3.37%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-24 23:14
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-24 23:11
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-24 23:11
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-24 23:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.54%E -2.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -6.65%E -3.43%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 00:10
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.98%E -1.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.13%E -3.69%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 23:45
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -5.58%E -3.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.13%E -3.69%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-24 23:11
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.907%E -0.475%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 23:11
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.907%E -0.475%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 23:11
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.907%E -0.475%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 23:11
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.907%E -0.475%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 23:11
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 23:11
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 23:11
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 23:49
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 23:30
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 23:10
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -2.98%E -1.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -8.57%E -4.51%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 23:11
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-03-25 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-03-25 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-03-25 00:14
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-03-25 00:10
ProphetX1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-03-25 00:15
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-03-25 00:13
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%2.2%2026-03-25 00:10