La scuola delle quote

Ugo Humbert v Francisco Cerundolo

Inizio: 2026-03-25 00:20 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Ugo Humbert (Casa)

Previsione 51.88%1.93quota equa
EV -0.907%
Vantaggio -0.475%
Kelly -0.997%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%51.93%51.86%54.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.841.851.9157.14%54.29%54.05%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Francisco Cerundolo (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.12%2.08quota equa
EV +0.569%
Vantaggio +0.272%
Kelly +0.522%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.09

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.57%48.07%48.14%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.901.961.962.0952.63%50.96%51.02%47.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -9.21%E -5.26%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV +0.569%E +0.272%K +0.522%G +0.003%5.0%2026-03-24 23:11
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.36%E -0.661%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 23:53
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.95%E -1.03%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -2.80%E -1.39%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-25 00:00
SportsBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.58%E -3.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.80%E -1.39%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-24 23:11
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.58%E -3.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.80%E -1.39%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-24 23:10
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -2.98%E -1.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -3.28%E -1.63%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-24 23:45
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -3.50%E -1.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 23:11
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 23:11
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 23:11
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 23:39
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.76%E -1.88%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 23:11
Betsson1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.54%E -2.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.72%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 23:11
NordicBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.54%E -2.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.72%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 23:10
ReBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.54%E -2.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.72%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 23:11
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.72%E -2.39%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.44%EV -3.50%E -1.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.56%EV -5.21%E -2.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-24 23:11
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.44%EV -3.50%E -1.88%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.56%EV -5.21%E -2.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-24 23:11
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.21%E -2.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 23:55
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.21%E -2.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 23:54
GTbets1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.54%E -2.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.21%E -2.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-25 00:05
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -5.21%E -2.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 23:40
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:10
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 23:11
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.58%E -3.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.69%E -2.90%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 23:10
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.98%E -1.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 23:11
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.98%E -1.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-24 23:08
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.02%E -2.17%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 23:11
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.58%E -3.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 23:11
NetBet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -6.10%E -3.37%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-24 23:14
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-24 23:11
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-24 23:11
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.17%E -3.16%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-24 23:10
Parions Sport (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -4.54%E -2.47%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -6.65%E -3.43%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 00:10
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -2.98%E -1.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -7.13%E -3.69%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 23:45
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -5.58%E -3.06%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.13%E -3.69%K -7.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-24 23:11
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.907%E -0.475%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 23:11
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.907%E -0.475%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 23:11
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.907%E -0.475%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 23:11
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.907%E -0.475%K -0.997%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 23:11
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 23:11
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 23:11
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 23:49
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.06%E -2.76%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 23:30
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.61%E -3.67%K -8.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.09%E -4.24%K -8.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-24 23:10
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -2.98%E -1.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -8.57%E -4.51%K -9.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-24 23:11
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-03-25 00:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%0.4%2026-03-25 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-03-25 00:14
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-03-25 00:10
ProphetX1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%0.7%2026-03-25 00:15
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-03-25 00:13
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%2.2%2026-03-25 00:10