A Escola das Odds

Tommy Paul v Raphael Collignon

Início: 2026-03-22 20:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Tommy Paul (Local)

Previsão 68.29%1.46odd justa
EV -0.973%
Vantagem -0.671%
Kelly -2.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.96%68.30%68.40%69.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.341.381.381.4574.63%72.51%72.46%68.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Raphael Collignon (Visitante)

Previsão 31.71%3.15odd justa
EV -1.39%
Vantagem -0.449%
Kelly -0.661%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.49%31.70%31.60%34.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.993.003.1136.36%33.41%33.33%32.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -0.973%E -0.671%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04%EV -10.91%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-22 20:05
Winamax (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-22 19:59
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.93%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 19:39
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.93%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 19:40
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 19:39
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 20:00
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 20:00
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 20:00
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 20:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 19:39
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 19:40
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 19:40
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 19:39
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 19:39
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.07%E -3.65%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 20:00
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.07%E -3.65%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 19:40
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.71%E -0.552%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 19:38
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.71%E -0.552%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 19:40
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.71%E -0.552%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 19:30
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.71%E -0.552%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 20:00
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.71%E -0.552%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-22 19:39
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -2.66%E -0.867%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-22 19:50
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 20:05
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 20:05
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 20:05
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 20:05
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 20:05
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 20:05
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 20:05
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.61%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-22 20:00
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 20:05
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 19:39
Parions Sport (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 19:59
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 19:40
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 19:39
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 20:00
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -6.44%E -4.70%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -1.39%E -0.449%K -0.661%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-22 19:40
Unibet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.44%E -4.70%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.71%E -0.552%K -0.815%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 19:39
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -6.44%E -4.70%K -17.40%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV -2.66%E -0.867%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 20:00
Fliff1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -6.44%E -4.70%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-22 20:04
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.71%E -0.552%K -0.815%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-22 19:39
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 19:40
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 19:39
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 20:05
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 20:05
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 20:05
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 20:05
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 19:40
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 19:40
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-22 19:30
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.80%E -5.78%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 19:50
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.80%E -5.78%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.80%E -5.78%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 19:39
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.80%E -5.78%K -22.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-22 20:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -8.49%E -6.33%K -24.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 20:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-03-22 20:05
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-03-22 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-22 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-22 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-03-22 20:00
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06%2.9%2026-03-22 20:05