La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Tommy Paul v Raphael Collignon
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Tommy Paul (Local)
Predicción 68.29%1.46momio equitativo
EV -0.973%
Ventaja -0.671%
Kelly -2.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.96%68.30%68.40%69.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.381.381.4574.63%72.51%72.46%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Raphael Collignon (Visitante)
Predicción 31.71%3.15momio equitativo
EV -1.39%
Ventaja -0.449%
Kelly -0.661%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.49%31.70%31.60%34.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.993.003.1136.36%33.41%33.33%32.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -0.973%E -0.671%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.04%EV -10.91%E -3.88%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 20:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.02%E -2.13%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-22 19:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.93%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 19:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -3.93%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 19:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 20:00 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 20:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 20:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 20:00 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 19:39 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 19:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 19:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 19:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.39%E -3.13%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-22 19:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.07%E -3.65%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 20:00 |
| ReBet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.07%E -3.65%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 19:40 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.71%E -0.552%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 19:38 |
| FanDuel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.71%E -0.552%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 19:40 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.71%E -0.552%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 19:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.71%E -0.552%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.71%E -0.552%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 19:39 |
| GTbets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -2.66%E -0.867%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 20:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 20:05 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 20:05 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 20:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 20:05 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 20:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 20:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.61%E -1.19%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-22 20:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 20:05 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 19:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 19:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 19:40 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 19:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -5.75%E -4.17%K -15.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-22 20:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -6.44%E -4.70%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -1.39%E -0.449%K -0.661%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-22 19:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.44%E -4.70%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.71%E -0.552%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 19:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.14%EV -6.44%E -4.70%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.86%EV -2.66%E -0.867%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-22 20:00 |
| Fliff | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -6.44%E -4.70%K -17.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-22 20:04 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.71%E -0.552%K -0.815%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 19:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 19:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 19:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 20:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 20:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 20:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 20:05 |
| Caesars | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 19:40 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 19:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.12%E -5.24%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-22 19:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -7.80%E -5.78%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 19:50 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.80%E -5.78%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.80%E -5.78%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 19:39 |
| LeoVegas | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.80%E -5.78%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-22 20:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -8.49%E -6.33%K -24.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -6.47%E -2.19%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 20:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-03-22 20:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-03-22 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-22 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-22 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-22 20:00 |
| Novig | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.94% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.06% | 2.9% | 2026-03-22 20:05 |