The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Thiago Agustin Tirante v Martin Landaluce

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 22:54 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)

Prediction 44.56%2.24fair odd
EV +2.50%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.92%
Growth +0.048%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.57%44.45%44.56%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.112.122.3050.76%47.32%47.17%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Martin Landaluce (Visit)

Prediction 55.44%1.80fair odd
EV +0.339%
Edge +0.187%
Kelly +0.418%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%55.55%55.44%59.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.691.701.8163.69%59.28%58.82%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local): 44.56%; Martin Landaluce (Visit): 55.44%. For Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +2.50%E +1.09%K +1.92%G +0.048%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -12.97%E -8.26%K -22.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 22:50
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +0.269%E +0.120%K +0.216%G +0.001%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -12.41%E -7.86%K -21.40%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-17 22:50
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.96%E -0.890%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 22:48
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.96%E -0.890%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.19%E -6.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 22:50
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -1.96%E -0.890%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -10.19%E -6.29%K -16.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 22:50
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -1.96%E -0.890%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -12.97%E -8.26%K -22.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 22:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.31%E -3.74%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 22:50
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.53%E -5.17%K -13.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 22:50
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -10.75%E -6.68%K -17.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 22:50
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -11.30%E -7.06%K -18.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 22:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -4.19%E -1.95%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.64%EV -12.41%E -7.86%K -21.40%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-17 22:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.65%E -2.70%K -6.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 22:50
ReBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.52%E -2.61%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.10%E -2.37%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 22:01
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.42%E -3.05%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.88%E -1.06%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-17 22:49
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.42%E -3.05%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.99%E -1.71%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-17 22:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -7.31%E -3.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -5.76%E -3.39%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 22:00
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -8.64%E -4.22%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV +0.339%E +0.187%K +0.418%G +0.001%4.0%2026-03-17 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.64%E -4.22%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.76%E -3.39%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 22:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.64%E -4.22%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.76%E -3.39%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 22:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -9.09%E -4.46%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV +0.339%E +0.187%K +0.418%G +0.001%4.3%2026-03-17 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -9.09%E -4.46%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV +0.339%E +0.187%K +0.418%G +0.001%4.3%2026-03-17 22:40
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.87%E -5.44%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.216%E -0.120%K -0.269%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 22:35
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.87%E -5.44%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -2.99%E -1.71%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 22:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.22%EV -11.32%E -5.69%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.78%EV -5.20%E -3.04%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 22:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.88%EV -12.21%E -6.20%K -12.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -7.42%E -4.44%K -11.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-17 22:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-03-17 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%1.1%2026-03-17 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-03-17 22:50
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-03-17 22:50
Novig◎2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%6.6%2026-03-17 22:50