La scuola delle quote

Rafael Jodar v Yannick Hanfmann

Inizio: 2026-03-19 14:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Rafael Jodar (Casa)

Previsione 58.71%1.70quota equa
EV -0.194%
Vantaggio -0.114%
Kelly -0.276%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.44%58.50%58.82%60.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.621.621.7064.52%61.67%61.73%58.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Yannick Hanfmann (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.29%2.42quota equa
EV -1.73%
Vantaggio -0.726%
Kelly -1.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.75%41.50%41.18%43.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.282.302.3846.51%43.80%43.48%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -0.194%E -0.114%K -0.276%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -6.27%E -2.76%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 13:19
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -0.781%E -0.462%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -9.57%E -4.37%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 13:19
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 13:19
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 13:19
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 13:19
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 13:19
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 13:19
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 13:20
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -2.54%E -1.53%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -5.45%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-18 14:39
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.13%E -1.90%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 13:30
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.13%E -1.90%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 13:19
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.13%E -1.90%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 13:19
Betsson1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 13:30
NordicBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 13:29
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 13:19
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-19 13:19
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 13:20
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:19
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 17:35
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 17:35
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 17:35
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 17:35
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 17:35
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 17:35
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 17:35
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 17:35
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 17:35
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 17:35
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 17:35
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 17:35
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 17:35
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-18 17:33
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 13:19
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 13:20
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 13:19
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.48%E -3.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 13:19
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.48%E -3.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-19 13:18
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.48%E -3.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 13:19
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.48%E -3.40%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 13:19
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 13:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 13:19
ReBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 13:19
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-18 17:35
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 13:18
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 13:29
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 13:30
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.65%E -4.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 13:19
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.65%E -4.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-18 16:30
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.65%E -4.18%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 13:20
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.24%E -4.58%K -12.48%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 13:19
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.73%E -0.726%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 12:44
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.73%E -0.726%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-18 15:00
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 13:20
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -9.00%E -5.81%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.58%EV -6.27%E -2.76%K -4.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-19 13:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-03-19 13:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-03-19 13:30
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-03-19 13:29
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-19 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-03-19 13:19
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%2.0%2026-03-19 13:19
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%2.7%2026-03-19 13:30