La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Rafael Jodar v Yannick Hanfmann
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rafael Jodar (Local)
Predicción 58.71%1.70momio equitativo
EV -0.194%
Ventaja -0.114%
Kelly -0.276%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.44%58.50%58.82%60.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.621.621.7064.52%61.67%61.73%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Yannick Hanfmann (Visitante)
Predicción 41.29%2.42momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.726%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%41.50%41.18%43.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.282.302.3846.51%43.80%43.48%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -0.194%E -0.114%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -6.27%E -2.76%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -0.781%E -0.462%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -9.57%E -4.37%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| BetUS | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.95%E -1.17%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 13:20 |
| GTbets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -2.54%E -1.53%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -5.45%E -2.38%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-18 14:39 |
| 1xBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.13%E -1.90%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 13:30 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.13%E -1.90%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.13%E -1.90%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| Betsson | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 13:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 13:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.30%E -2.64%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.09%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.91%EV -3.38%E -1.44%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 13:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 17:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 17:35 |
| Casumo | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 17:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 17:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 17:35 |
| Unibet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 17:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 17:35 |
| betPARX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 17:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 17:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 17:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 17:33 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 13:20 |
| Everygame | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -4.89%E -3.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -11.23%E -5.22%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.48%E -3.40%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.48%E -3.40%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-19 13:18 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.48%E -3.40%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.21%E -1.81%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.48%E -3.40%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| ReBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.97%E -1.26%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 17:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 13:18 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 13:29 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.06%E -3.79%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.16%E -4.16%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-19 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.65%E -4.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.65%E -4.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-18 16:30 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.65%E -4.18%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.10%E -3.15%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 13:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -7.24%E -4.58%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -5.86%E -2.57%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.73%E -0.726%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-19 12:44 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.73%E -0.726%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-18 15:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.83%E -4.98%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.03%E -2.19%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-19 13:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -9.00%E -5.81%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.58%EV -6.27%E -2.76%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-19 13:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35% | 0.3% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 13:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 0.5% | 2026-03-19 13:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| Smarkets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64% | 2.0% | 2026-03-19 13:19 |
| Novig | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71% | 2.7% | 2026-03-19 13:30 |