Language:English
Martin Landaluce v Karen Khachanov
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Martin Landaluce (Local)
Prediction 30.19%3.31fair odd
EV -0.375%
Edge -0.114%
Kelly -0.163%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.94%30.30%30.17%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.143.153.3034.48%31.88%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Karen Khachanov (Visit)
Prediction 69.81%1.43fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -5.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%69.70%69.83%71.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.361.361.4075.19%73.59%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Martin Landaluce (Local): 30.19%; Karen Khachanov (Visit): 69.81%. For Martin Landaluce (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -0.375%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.375%E -0.114%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 22:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -0.375%E -0.114%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-22 22:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.375%E -0.114%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.76%E -4.26%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-22 21:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.94%EV -0.676%E -0.206%K -0.295%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.06%EV -6.45%E -4.82%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-22 21:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.88%E -0.580%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.66%E -2.65%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.88%E -0.580%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.66%E -2.65%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.88%E -0.580%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.15%E -5.38%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 21:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.88%E -0.580%K -0.837%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.15%E -5.38%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-22 21:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 22:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.39%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.76%E -4.26%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 22:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -4.00%E -1.26%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.76%E -4.26%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -4.60%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -4.36%E -3.18%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-22 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.36%E -3.18%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 22:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 22:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 22:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.90%E -1.56%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.15%E -5.38%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 22:41 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.36%E -3.18%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-22 13:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-22 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.45%E -4.82%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 22:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.45%E -4.82%K -18.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 22:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.41%E -2.07%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.15%E -5.38%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 20:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.92%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-22 21:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 22:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 12:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 12:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.06%E -3.72%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-22 15:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.76%E -4.26%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.76%E -4.26%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-22 15:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.15%E -5.38%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 21:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.43%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.15%E -5.38%K -21.67%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-22 21:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 21:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.45%E -4.29%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.27%E -1.62%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 21:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-22 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-03-22 22:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-22 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.87% | 1.6% | 2026-03-22 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.84% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.16% | 2.6% | 2026-03-22 22:45 |