Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Martin Landaluce v Jiri Lehecka

Kickoff: 2026-03-25 19:55 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Martin Landaluce (Local)

Prediction 26.93%3.71fair odd
EV +7.72%
Edge +1.93%
Kelly +2.57%
Growth +0.198%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.37%26.88%27.04%29.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.513.454.0030.77%28.50%28.99%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jiri Lehecka (Visit)

Prediction 73.07%1.37fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -3.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.65%73.12%72.96%76.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.291.301.3581.97%77.46%76.92%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Martin Landaluce (Local): 26.93%; Jiri Lehecka (Visit): 73.07%. For Martin Landaluce (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.71. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +7.72%E +1.93%K +2.57%G +0.198%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.85%E -8.90%K -49.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-25 19:50
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +2.33%E +0.613%K +0.832%G +0.019%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -8.66%E -6.93%K -34.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-25 19:50
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.983%E +0.262%K +0.357%G +0.004%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.47%E -5.05%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 19:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV +0.983%E +0.262%K +0.357%G +0.004%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.47%E -5.05%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 19:50
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.983%E +0.262%K +0.357%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.66%E -6.93%K -34.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-25 19:51
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.983%E +0.262%K +0.357%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.66%E -6.93%K -34.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-25 19:51
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +0.983%E +0.262%K +0.357%G +0.004%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.66%E -6.93%K -34.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-25 19:51
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +0.983%E +0.262%K +0.357%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.85%E -8.90%K -49.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-25 19:50
DraftKings🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.70%EV +0.444%E +0.119%K +0.163%G +0.001%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.30%EV -5.74%E -4.45%K -19.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-25 19:50
Pinnacle🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 26.55%EV -0.902%E -0.245%K -0.337%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.45%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-25 19:50
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -1.71%E -0.468%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.20%E -5.67%K -26.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 19:51
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -1.71%E -0.468%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -7.20%E -5.67%K -26.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 19:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -3.06%E -0.849%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-25 19:50
Betsson🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.06%E -0.849%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.20%E -5.67%K -26.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-25 19:50
NordicBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.06%E -0.849%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.20%E -5.67%K -26.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-25 19:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.06%E -0.849%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.20%E -5.67%K -26.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-25 19:50
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.06%E -0.849%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.20%E -5.67%K -26.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-25 19:41
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -3.06%E -0.849%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -7.20%E -5.67%K -26.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-25 19:50
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -3.06%E -0.849%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.66%E -6.93%K -34.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-25 19:51
Winamax (DE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.40%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -7.93%E -6.29%K -30.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-25 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -4.40%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -8.66%E -6.93%K -34.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-25 19:51
LowVig.ag🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.21%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 19:49
BetOnline.ag🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.21%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-25 19:48
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.28%E -3.26%K -13.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 19:50
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 19:30
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -5.75%E -1.64%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.47%E -5.05%K -23.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-25 19:50
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 19:45
theScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-25 19:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -7.20%E -5.67%K -26.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-25 19:50
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 19:15
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 19:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 19:50
ReBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 19:20
betPARX🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 19:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-25 19:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.28%E -3.26%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-25 19:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.28%E -3.26%K -13.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-25 19:50
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.74%E -4.45%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 19:50
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.74%E -4.45%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-25 19:50
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.93%E -6.29%K -30.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-25 19:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.93%E -6.29%K -30.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-25 19:39
Fliff🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.44%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.93%E -6.29%K -30.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-25 19:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -9.52%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 19:43
Bally Bet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-25 19:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.28%E -3.26%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-25 19:44
BetUS🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.79%E -2.92%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -4.28%E -3.26%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-25 19:15
1xBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -11.14%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -2.08%E -1.56%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 19:43
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -11.14%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -2.82%E -2.12%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-25 19:14
BetRivers🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -11.14%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.55%E -2.69%K -11.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-25 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.14%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-25 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.14%E -3.37%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.01%E -3.85%K -16.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-25 19:50
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -12.48%E -3.84%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -1.35%E -1.00%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-25 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%0.1%2026-03-25 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.35%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.65%0.1%2026-03-25 19:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.67%1.29I 77.52%NM 77.33%0.2%2026-03-25 19:50
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-03-25 19:50
ProphetX4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45%2.0%2026-03-25 19:51
Novig4.44I 22.52%NM 21.97%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.03%2.5%2026-03-25 19:50
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%3.8%2026-03-25 19:50